Wyndham Chalk Bomb 2023

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This could turn out to be a tilting weather situation. We may or may not be looking at delays, guys getting called on and off and back on again, guys not even teeing up for their round, guys playing more than 1 round in a day, ball in hand...ANYTHING!You can make an argument for both sides depending on what happens with the rain coming in Thursday. Stacking both waves would be smart, but in terms of having one wave heavier than the other...we'll wait and make that decision later tonight in the DISCORD chat.For final thoughts on waves, weather, and more...make sure to join the LIVE chat tonight starting around 9 PM ET in the NUT HUT.

Si Woo Kim -146 ($9,000) vs. Ludvig Aberg +116 ($9,300)

Our boy Si Woo is criminally undervalued in terms of DFS pricing this week, but you aren't going to full the matchup oddsmakers. Si Woo actually opened up a ridiculous -173 at one of the sharpest books before some Aberg money rolled in. Things have now steadied at the current price.I believe most of this rides on the great course history for Si Woo coupled with his increased recent ability to hit fairways at a rate above the norm for him. For what it's worth, Datagolf gives predictive pricing on these head to head matchups and they have Si Woo's true odds in this head to head at -186!From an ownership perspective, the latest Nut Hut projections have nearly 1 in every 4 entries playing Si Woo which is scary at 23%. The projections also have Aberg as the only player priced over $8,500 coming in at less than 10% owned.

JT Poston +113 ($9200) vs. Denny McCarthy -143 $8700)

Here is a classic matchup in the meat and potatoes mid-range where the cheaper player in DFS is a sizeable favorite in the Head to Head markets. Denny opened up as a -139 favorite and has since moderately been bet up to his current price.To be frank, I'm surprised the the bettors actually took this side by majority. JT has been playing fantastic and coming back to a course where he notched a victory a few years back. DataGolf has their true line projected at McCarthy -127 in this matchup.In regards to ownership in DFS, Denny is definitely the chalk and projected to be the highest owned player of the week in the latest Nut Hut Research center aggregate projections. JT is garnering plenty of steam as well though, checking in at around 19.5%.

Nicolai Hojgaard -127 ($7300) vs. Justin Suh +103 ($7300)

In our final matchup, let's examine two players with the exact same DFS salary and also essentially the exact same projected ownership from a betting market perspective.After opening up as a +money underdog in this matchup, Hojgaard flipped the board is now currently a -127 favorite in the head to head at the sharp marketing making sportsbooks. He's been the far superior player from T2G over both players last 36 rounds played. Hojgaard is gaining in all three categories (OTT, APP, and ARG) while Suh has been losing strokes in the same 3 markers.Neither player comes in with any course history as both players are making their debut at Sedgefield. If you are inclined to trust the sharp bettors, it looks like you could potentially get an advantage going with Hojgaard this week. Best of luck gang!

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. Nailed it last week. Chalk Glover was always the call as he missed the cut and ruined plenty of lineups last week. This week things get a bit tougher. The majority of the players who are projected to be highly owned have been playing really consistent golf and also have a ton to play for this week as the FedEx Cup playoffs are on the horizon. Let's see if we can find another player to avoid this week for the Chalk Bomb!First thing's first, you just simply can't miss a ton of fairways at Sedgefield and have success. The stat floating around this week that players hit 83% of greens in regulation from the fairways but less than 50% from the rough tells the whole story. I'm not sure I can remember an event with this sort of drastic swing. The importance of OTT game, particularly on shorter golf courses that require enhanced accuracy is the main thing I am looking for.I have honed in on a player that despite solid incoming form, consistently bleeds strokes to the field OTT and ranks in the bottom half of the field this week in Driving Accuracy. These two things combined are a bad combination at the Wyndham and make for a great potential chalk bomb candidate. They also rank 85th in fairways gained over their last 36 rounds played and have lost strokes OTT in 6 of their last 8 tournaments played.The second thing I am looking into is does this player have solid course history around Sedgefield that I should be worried about. Well, the answer here is a bit murky. They have one great performance that I believe many shortsighted researchers will latch onto, but if you take a deeper look in totality, they have missed the cut in 50% of their career starts at the Wyndham and only have one finish inside the top 20.So what is this players overall strength and is it something that could be potentially amplified or mitigated at a golf course such as this? Again, it's tough. In my opinion, the strength of this player is their putter. Looking at last year, the eventual Champion Tom Kim gained a million strokes putting en route to victory which looks it could be extremely important. That said, he also ranked top 5 in fairway percentage for the week, which in my mind gave him enough opportunities to even make putts in the first place. In fact, 3 of the last 4 winners at this event finish 4th of better for the week in Fairways hit. So yes, can they rely on the putter to have success, of course. But, they are going to have to play from the short grass quite often in order to take advantage of the flat stick prowess.The current form for the player we have selected is going to be hard for many to pass up, but I think the volatile nature of their finishes is why I have some comfort in taking on this challenge to fade them at 20% ownership. They have been in firm contention for a month now in many events, but on the season have missed the cut in half their events played over the last 6 months. Ups and downs are what we look for in many of these circumstances and often times I have found it wise to fade players like this when they are chalk and many feel confidence playing them.I know the Tour Junkies community feels strongly about this player and they rightfully should. In my opinion, this is strictly ownership driven and a play on inflated expectation versus reality in this instance. They are going to have to make up a lot of ground on the field if they continue to play below field average from the tee box and it will be an uphill climb all week is things go sideways. We regret to inform you that at nearly 20% projected ownership in DFS, Mr. Postman, you are the chalk bomb this week!

It bothers me when everyone in your golf foursome has to stand right behind you on the tee box when you're about to tee off. Stand just off to the side of the damn box. That's my field of play for the moment. You're on the sidelines until it's your turn. Bud. I'm surprised people don't talk more about domesticating giraffes. I just feel there are a lot of things they could do for you. They also seem friendly. There aren't many things I can't stand more than waterparks. Case in point...you hardly ever see a line to the bathroom. Snacks from a hotel vending machine always seem to taste better than anywhere else. I wonder why that is? It's a great mystery. Alright, that’s all I got this week! I hope you enjoy the last event of the regular season at the Wyndham Championship. Stay well, good luck with your lineups and bets, and may your screens be green! Bome!