WWT CB 23

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Quick note on the card. I had Ramey on the card, but Chad Ramey just WD'd. I'd take his bet and put it on Vince Whaley at 90/1 on DraftKings or PointsBet

Strangely, in an area where heavy coastal winds are the norm, there does not seem to be much in store this week. As DB said on the betting preview show, not a breath. It's common for things to pick up in the afternoon but nothing of note in the forecast yet.For final thoughts on waves, weather, and more...make sure to join the LIVE chat tonight starting around 9 PM ET in the NUT HUT.

Stephan Jaeger -180 ($10,200) vs. Lucas Glover +149 ($10,100)

We start things off with 2 players only $100 apart in DFS salary in the 10k range that sharp bettors have taken a strong stance on. Jaeger has been pushed up to a -180 favorite after opening up just -127 at the sharp offshore sportsbooks.It comes with good reason too, after a string of great finishes leading up to the Fall swing where he has 4 top 30 finishes in his last 5 starts. We'd be remiss to mention the form shown by Glover though as well where he notched back to back late season wins as is gaining over 2 strokes per event on Jaeger over the last 6 tournaments played for each.DFS ownership seems to lineup with the thought process of bettors, with Jaeger projected to garner about 5% more ownership than Lucas Glover this week South of the border in Mexico.

Brandon Wu -110 ($7300) vs. Michael Kim -110 ($7500)

If you have consumed any golf content this week, you have most certainly heard Brandon Wu's name brought up. He is currently the second biggest liability from MGM sportsbook in the outright market this week.Matchup bettors have come to his side as well at the sharp books. Kim opened up a modest -127 favorite before the movement pushed the current line to -110 each way. It's hard to deny Wu's affinity for coastal golf courses given his performance in Mexico and history on the California coast throughout his career.Don't overlook Michael Kim though, he has made huge strides in his results over the summer and picked up a ton of distance which could be useful at a course setup like this with wide open landing areas. Kim is projected around 8% owned in DFS while we expect Wu to clear double digits in ownership.

Tyler Duncan -125 ($7200) vs. Chad Ramey +105 ($7400)

We isolated this matchup to spotlight because bettors have punched their tickets on the cheaper Duncan throughout the week, moving him from a +107 underdog to his current status as favorite.Duncan enters this week on the heels of back to back top 20 finishes in the Fall swing at the Shriners and Sanderson Farms. Ramey hasn't been too shabby either this Fall as he managed to finish top 20 at the Sanderson and Fortinet.The main difference between these two players is Duncans ability to hit roughly 10% more fairways than Ramey while also hitting it further OTT. It remains to be seen how much of an advantage that will be this week on a unique course setup. Both players are projected right around the 6-7% DFS Ownership mark in the Nut Hut aggregate ownership projections.

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. I'm refreshed and excited to back scripting up the Chalk Bomb piece this week. We left off at the ZOZO with a sure thing implosion from Mr. Adam Svensson who ended up finishes near the very bottom of the leaderboard for the week. Let's see if we can isolate another player that is NOT going to live up to the ownership hype for the World Wide Technology Championship.This week is going to hinge on whether or not you nail the correct skill-set that will be rewarded on this brand new and unique course. The first thing that jumps right off the page is the forgiveness of the fairway widths. I'm willing to consider players who struggle with accuracy off the tee a bit more this week, so consequently I also feel like this diminishes value in those players with an elite ability to hit it far and straight. This ability of course will always be a weapon, but in weeks like this, it is simply less of a weapon.Thus, the strength of the player I am considering fading is his OTT prowess. This player has gained strokes OTT in 9 consecutive PGA Tour starts and is an absolute stud with the Driver. He averages over 300 yards on his drives and hits 64% of fairways. This course is just not overly long, all the par 5's should be reachable for most in the field, and given the 60 yard wide landing areas, I just can't get behind the narrative that having this asset will be as important as it is in the average week on Tour.The other course narrative that I am fully buying into is that this place is going to be a birdie bonanza. I see one singular defense that El Cardonal has. It's hoping the wind howls 25-30 mph. That is not in the forecast this week at this point and unless something drastically changes, I expect pro players will tear this course apart. So let's take a look at how this player performance against his baseline on courses with easier scoring conditions.In reality, we probably need more data on this player to make a definitive statement, but early signs point toward this player performing better on more difficult courses. This also makes sense given the ability to hit more fairways and hit it further than most on courses that are extremely demanding OTT. His average finishing position on easy courses drops about 10 spots and the main reason is that we see a dip in his approach numbers, likely because more players in the field are hitting from fairways.The approach play stats have been the weakest part of this players game in general thus far, but when you filter in easy scoring conditions and easy to hit fairways, they rank a mere 92nd the field of just over 130 total players. I would reckon that if the wind was howling this week, it could be a benefit to this player given where he played in college. That said, if it lays down like it is supposed to, and it just becomes a tournament of point and fire at pins from the fairway, I think this is going to be a more difficult hill to climb for them to have success here.The final unique element that El Cardonal possesses is the paspalum grass throughout the course. It's just a weird variable and wrinkle where we often see players have definitive spikes or downgrades in strokes gained performance. This player has yet to play a tournament on paspalum in their professional career so the uncertainty of how they will perform is disconcerting. In general, my thoughts are that slower greens help bad putters, which theoretically could open the door for more players to compete for spots near the top of the leaderboard.All in all, this dude is going to win...soon. Not this week. Go ahead and fade the top priced and top owned player in the field. A ballsy, plug your nose and don't look at the comments Chalk Bomb. Have some.You haven't arrived on Tour until you have been labeled a Chalk Bomb, now is your time Ludvig Aberg!

I'm pleasantly reminded, infrequently, that money does a remarkable job of surviving laundry. Other than for setting an alarm, I really don't think we need the AM/PM designation for clocks.  Listen here STOUFFERS. I have zero clue how to figure out how many watts my damn microwave has. If you want to have a better chance of a response to a social media post or text message. Just put a typo in it. CC: DAVIDAlright, that’s all I got this week! I hope you enjoy the WWT Championship in beautiful Los Cabos. Stay well, good luck with your lineups and bets, and may your screens be green! Bome!