Valspar 22 Heavy Petting

Heavy Petting 🍑 Valspar 2022

March 15, 2022

If golf research were sexual...you'd be rounding 2nd base after this.

DB's 1st look and impressions of the Valspar Outright Betting Odds

6 Head to Head Matchups & what they may indicate for DFS + 2 Prop Bets DB Loves

  • Despite many players clubbing down due to these narrow fairways, the fairway hit % is still pretty average and driving distance is considerably lower than average. Everybody really hits it to the same spot in the fairway.

  • Historically one of the more challenging GIR courses on the PGA TOUR and difficult test overall.

  • The course has quirks. Elevation changes, slopes, doglegs, and some blind approach shots. Plus, the wind can change on a dime and different winds present different challenges, giving an edge to experience.

  • The greens are smaller than average and have plenty of slope presenting smaller landing areas. Tough to hit it close given the wind, and especially if not playing from the fairway. Firm and slightly grainy Tifeagle bermuda, but less bermuda grain as some of the overseed is still present when played in March.

  • There are 5 Par 3's and 4 Par 5's here. Very weird. Puts an emphasis on P5 Scoring and mid to long iron play.

  • DataGolf has Innisbrook as the 4th most difficult course on the PGA TOUR schedule since 2015 (non majors) along with Bay Hill and Quail Hollow.

  • Innisbrook ranks 4th LOWEST out of all courses on the current PGA TOUR schedule in driving distance average taken since 2015…right there w/ PGA NATIONAL, PGA West and Colonial

  • Top 10 narrowest fairways on PGA TOUR since 2015 around 28 yards wide on avg

  • Innisbrook ranks as the 3rd lowest GIR% (62%) on the PGA TOUR since 2015 (excluding majors)

  • DataGolf ranks SG Metrics VS a player's expectation based on course fit. It's interesting because it can reveal cheaper/long shot players that tend to level up at a certain course. Here are the Top 10 for Copperhead (Min 12 rds): Burns, Walker, Donald, Bubba, D. Lee, Tringale, Schwartzel, Blixt, Kuchar, and Kang.

  • The bottom 10 would be (Min 12 rds): HV3, DJ, Piercy, Todd, Malnati, Hahn, ZJ, Day, Laird and Gay.

  • Burns, Woodland, Streelman, and Hadwin all won here for their 1st PGA TOUR victory.

  • Like all the courses in the Florida swing, this place is tough, requires patience, endurance and solid ball striking form coming in. It's got teeth. Look for very strong mid to long iron players in good form that can scramble well and have some good showing on Florida Tifeagle Bermuda.

1. Strokes gained T2G leaders from last year's Valspar: 1. JT 2. Bradley 3. Hovland 4. Casey 5. Burns 6. Hoffman 7. Schenk 8. Tringale 9. Ghim 10. Vegas 

2. Rounds gained % putting leaders on bermuda grass (that also rank top 100 in ball striking): 1.McCarthy 2. Fitz 3. Kiz 4. Long 5. Oosthuizen 6. Hatton 7. Hadwin 8. Bez 9. Griffin 10. Kang

3. Strokes gained T2G leaders in the last 3 calendar months: 1. JT 2. Bradley 3. Morikawa 4. Lowry 5. Casey 6. Hovland 7. Knox 8. Ghim 9. Wise 10. Ancer

4. On courses 7200-7400 yards, difficult scoring, & bermuda grass, your top 10 in total strokes gained are: 1. JT 2. Casey 3. Schauffele 4. DJ 5. Hadwin 6. Hatton 7. Bradley 8. Lowry 9. Kuchar 10. Koepka

5. Top 10 JUST strokes gained ball striking on courses 7200-7400 yards, difficult to hit fairways, & difficult scoring: 1. JT 2. Morikawa 3. Stenson 4. Casey 5. DJ 6. Watson 7. Lowry 8. Schauffele 9. Woodland 10. Bradley

6. Top 10 in birdies or better gained the last 50 rounds: 1. Hovland 2. DJ 3. JT 4. Burns 5. Simpson 6. Morikawa 7. Oosthuizen 8. Hatton 9. Ryder 10. Griffin

7. Historical GIR's gained @ Copperhead (min 8 rds): 1. Laird 2. Mullinax 3. Lebioda 4. Clark 5. Kokrak 6. Stenson 7. Casey 8. Schenk 9. Cink 10. Hadwin

8. Top 10 in GIR's gained the last 12 rounds: 1.Hovland 2. Wise 3.Thompson 4. Schuffele 5. JT 6. Knox 7. Casey 8. Kang 9. Tringale 10. Schwab

9. Top 10 in proximity from the 2 main approach shot buckets (200+ & 175-200): 1. Hovland 2. Munoz 3. Laird 4. Svensson 5. Oosthuizen 6. JT 7. Bradley 8. Lowry 9. Casey 10. Morikawa

10. Top 10 projected points per salary dollar (good values): 1. Hovland 2. JT 3. Merritt 4. Bradley 5. Knox 6. Wise 7. Fitz 8. Hickok 9. Laird 10. Kizzire

15 Minutes of what you need to know about Copperhead

0 Minutes of what you don't need to know about Copperhead

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