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- Travelers Chalk Bomb 2023
Travelers Chalk Bomb 2023
The Travelers Chalk 💣 2023
The wind looks like it is definitely set to pick up both afternoons in comparison to the mornings. Assuming they don't get delayed due to rain or storms, Thursday afternoon could be very tough with wet conditions and potential for 25 mph gusts that will give players fits.For final analysis on weather advantages and tee times, make sure you tune into the Nut Hut live chat starting around 9pmET tonight for our final take on the weather.
Patrick Cantlay -164 ($10,200) vs. Viktor Hovland +135 ($9,900)
A lot of juice to lay in our first matchup for 2 players that are relatively equal in DFS Price. Cantlay has caught a good bit of steam all week in the betting markets and this matchup is no different. PC opened up -144 before bettors came in at the sharp books to push the number up to -164 now.Cantlay certainly checks all the boxes when it comes to course history at TPC River Highlands but Viktor was also really impressive at his debut here a few years ago. His progressions and new methods with chipping should be best served at a course like this with thick greenside rough.Cantlay is going to be very highly owned this week, but for good reason. Is it worth eating an extra 45% in chalk to play him this week, well, if you trust the H2H line, it may be a good spot!
Russell Henley -161 ($7,800) vs. Si Woo Kim +128 ($8,000)
Let's take a closer look at this one as our boy Si Woo is listed as a large underdog in this head to head matchup at one of the sharpest sportsbooks out there. They opened this line at Henley -145 and it has caught even more steam since then as this is seemingly a great course fit for his game.It's not all the bad of a fit for Si Woo either though. He ranks #1 in the field in fairways gained over his last 24 rounds played and we know how important positioning yourself properly off the tee is at the Travelers.Henley is looking like he is going to be uber-chalky this week, potentially even over 20%. While Si Woo also looks to be pretty highly owned for an 8k player, I think it's beneficial for him being sandwiched in between Henley and Tom Kim this week who are both projected at higher ownership.
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Rickie Fowler -133 ($9,100) vs. Wyndham Clark +103 ($9,200)
These two dueled in the final pairing for 36 holes in Los Angeles over the weekend and I think the question that this matchup asks more than anything is, "Who's ready to do it again?". Do you think we see a Major win hangover for Wyndham this week. Well, certainly the bettor did early.This lined opened with Rickie a small -112 favorite but has since ballooned up to -133. Clark is the more expensive player in Draftkings but is projected to come in at lower ownership chalk in comparison to slick Rick. There are 2 players in the field this week average +2.5 strokes gained total per round over their last 30 rounds played. One is Scottie. Two is Wyndham. Credit where it's due.The book screen has slightly moved back toward his favor with the last couple of hours. He has dropped from +113 to +103 now. Best of luck this week and use this information as you see fit!
*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. All good things are bound to eventually come to an end. My blazing hot run of picks and takes in the Nut Hut came to a bit of a half last week after declaring Wyndham Clark had peaked in the LIVE chat and then dumping the Chalk Bomb label on Tommy Fleetwood. There was a good portion of Friday where I legitimately thought Tommy would miss the cut, and of course he does his thing and storms Sunday with an all-time round the resulted in zero chance of actually winning.These weeks have proven tougher for the top of the boards, being that the week after Major Championships they have scheduled these elevated events that seem to lack a bit of inspiration from the world's best players. That said, they are all in Cromwell! I would say that TPC River Highlands is one of the more recognizable stops on Tour. We can all picture a few of their unique holes and Pete Dye designs, and unlike last week, the crowds are always fantastic in Connecticut for this event.It has proven over the years to be a bit an event where course connoisseurs. This place has your typically Pete Dye tricks on the eyeballs why playing historically pretty tough around the greens. I think it will be particularly advantageous this week to have experience around this course in a tournament setting. I started by narrowing down my list of CB candidates who had fewer than 12 rounds played at the Travelers and ended up landing on a player who has zero!You also have to take into consideration that this course plays shortage in terms of total yardage than any other course in the annual rotation. Even up to about 6 months ago, I would have told you this player was going to be best suited on shorter golf courses and that anything under 7200 yards was an ideal course fit. The problem is that it hasn't really shaken out that way recently. This player has 4 top 10 finishes in 2023, and 3 of those have been on extremely long golf courses. His best ballstriking performances of the season have come at Augusta National, Quail Hollow, and LACC. He has also missed the cut at places like the Sony and the Heritage which are notoriously short courses.The putter is also in complete turmoil right now. During a stretch through last Fall where this player finished T26 or better in 4 of 5 starts, he gained on average +3.7 strokes putting per tournament. On the contrary, over his most recent 5 starts, he has lost -0.69 strokes per event putting. The short game has not exactly picked him up in this department either, as he has lost strokes ARG in 3 of this last 5.The Nut Hut research center has projected ownership for this player in the top 5 this week. I also checked the odds board and the sportsbook have him listed at +200 to miss the cut. That is a ton of ownership to take on for a guy the handicappers feel has a pretty legit chance of not even making the weekend. He's had a problem with missed cuts as well, trunk slamming on a Friday in 3 of the last 7 tournaments that he has played.My problem lies in the massive ownership on a player in which all the stats are pointing toward tangible inconsistencies and zero positive course history to rely on. There are spots to take on risk for a player, but I think in DFS it is often wise to take a bigger picture approach and even though you think a guy could potentially win, you also realize the likelihood of a bottom level floor performance as well. All of this as always comes down to a bit of contest selection as well, but ultimately while I feel this player does possess some high end upside, the chances of it imploding your lineup and high ownership in DFS will make this my fade of the week at the Travelers Championship. Projected at over 17% owned in DFS, the birthday boy, Joohyung Tom Kim, you are this weeks chalk bomb!
If you ask me, I think space is way less scary than the ocean. Someone's mom probably used you as a bad example for her kids. Just sayin.Theme parks can snap a crystal clear picture of you on a roller coaster at 70 mph, but a bank camera can't get a clear shot of a robber standing still. What is the proper amount of times you can use a towel after a shower? I mean, technically you're supposed to be clean when you get out of the shower. Soooo...Infinite?When you consume unhealthy things, you're kind of just being an asshole to your future self. So I can be a real asshole at times. A mini muffin is way better than a normal-sized muffin. This is because normal muffins are way too tall. Nobody has mouths that big and muffins are meant to be eaten in their complete form (top and bottom). Alright, that’s all I got this week! I hope you enjoy The Travelers Championship. I'm back from vacation and excited to see what we get with this great fantastic field. Stay well, good luck with your lineups and bets, and may your screens be green! Bome!
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