The 2025 RBC Heritage

Thursday conditions look IDEAL, so expect lower scores in the opening round compared to Friday when the winds are expected to pick up significantly.

For final analysis on weather advantages and tee times, make sure you tune into the Nut Hut live chat starting around 9pm ET for the latest and final thoughts on the weather this week...GET IN THERE

Tommy Fleetwood -123 ($9400) vs. Russell Henley -107 ($9700)

We’re looking in the $9k range of this loaded field in Hilton Head where Tommy Fleetwood is a favorite in a 72-hole matchup vs Russell Henley despite a $300 discount in DraftKings DFS on the Englishman.

Both guys are no strangers to Harbour Town with 16 previous starts between them at this event. Henley has notably finished T19 or better in three of the last four trips to this venue, but he does have five missed cuts in 11 total starts in this event. Tommy, on the other hand, has three top-25s but managed just a T49 here last year.

Our Nut Hut Ownership Projections available in the Discord show that Henley is the more popular pick at around 15% ownership compared to Tommy at 11%.

Welcome to the Show
Get to know the 2025 PGA Tour Rookies

Thanks to recent eligibility changes from the PGA Tour, 45 newly-minted Tour Cards were handed out ahead of the 2025 season. Each week, we’ll spotlight a few up-and-comers whose names will be important to know as the year progresses.

• Trevor Cone - Charlotte, NC

  Trevor Cone secured PGA TOUR membership for the second time in three seasons, fueled by a 2024 Korn Ferry Tour campaign highlighted by 11 top-25s and six top-10s—matching his number of missed cuts. The North Carolina native played four seasons at Virginia Tech (2011-15), where he earned co-medalist honors at the 2015 Atlantic Coast Conference Championship. The 32-year-old has missed 6/8 cuts so far in 2025.

• Danny Walker - Jacksonville, FL

  Danny Walker earned PGA TOUR membership for the first time behind a clutch performance in the KFT Finals to get just inside the top 30 in the season-long points standings. Walker managed just two top-10s in 41 starts on the KFT, but he previously earned two victories on PGA TOUR Canada. The 29-year-old has two top-15 finishes on the PGA TOUR in 2025, most notably a T6 at the PLAYERS Championship, where TPC Sawgrass is his home course.

Over-Unders for the RBC Heritage

Harbour Town is far from an easy track, but as a par-71 that will see little to no wind in round one, I’m leaning under for a few players whose lines seem a tad bit high.

None of these three had the Masters Tournament they would’ve liked, but they’re all in good form so far in 2025, and two or three under seems very doable given the scoring conditions we’re expecting in round one.

BTN Weekly Prop Play 
2025 Record: (1-11-3) [-10 units]

Tommy Fleetwood Top 20 including ties (-110)

I just can’t quit Tommy Lad this year (even though he burned me at ANGC). Last week’s Masters was his seventh finish of T22 or better in eight starts in 2025. Much like Augusta, the ‘elevated’ RBC Heritage features a small, no-cut field where you only have to beat a handful of guys to finish near the top half of the leaderboard.

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. 

Jon Rahm managed to backdoor his way into a T14 at the Masters last week, but we nevertheless kept a strong run of Chalk Bombs going into the next signature event of the year, the RBC Heritage.

As the annual follow-up to the year’s first major, just about everyone but Rory McIlroy is making the short trip from Augusta to Harbour Town, where an elevated $20 million purse is on the line.

Famous for tight corridors off the tee and numerous hazards, this venue is far from a bomber’s paradise. When people refer to a “second-shot” golf course, Harbour Town is what they mean.

As always, the Chalk Bomb is limited to players projected at over 15% ownership in DFS according to our proprietary projections available in the Tour Junkies Discord. Much like last week in Augusta, we have a strong and small field in Hilton Head this week, and 10 players meet our Chalk Bomb eligibility requirements.

To help us pick one of those 10, our friends at Bet the Number have once again cooked up a course-specific model based on years of on-the-ground analysis and research. This week, they’re keying in on Strokes Gained Off the Tee, Strokes Gained Approach from 140-200 yards, Driving Distance from Edge of Fairway (i.e., when you miss, how big is your miss) and Strokes Gained Putting on Overseed. All of these are calculated over the last 36 rounds.

With that in mind, here’s where this week’s Chalk Bomb ranks among the field of 80 players in each of those categories.

SG: Off the Tee — 19th
SG: APP from 140-200 — 72nd
Driving Distance from Edge of Fairway — 66th
SG: Putting on Overseed — 29th

Now, it must be said that this player has a phenomenal record at Harbour Town over the course of his career. Five top-12 finishes, including a win, are nothing to sneeze at, but it’s surely the reason that he’s the fourth-most popular DFS play according to our projections. Over 20% ownership is just too high.

So at $9200 on DraftKings, I’m steering clear of Jordan Spieth as this week’s Chalk Bomb!

Every hollow chocolate bunny is carrying a pocket of air from somewhere else in the world.

The grass is not always greener on the other side, it’s greener over the septic tank.

Knocking on a bathroom door and entering without an answer is probably the only situation where it’s acceptable to do so.

Alright folks—that’s all I’ve got for the RBC Heritage! Stay well, and good luck with all your PGA DFS lineups and bets. BOME!