The 2025 3M Open

We have a chance for a real wave split with light rain and significant wind gusts expected Thursday morning. Those lucky enough to catch the lighter PM wave in Round 1 should see practically dome golf conditions on Friday morning as well.

For final analysis on weather advantages and tee times, make sure you tune into the Nut Hut live chat starting around 9pm ET for the latest and final thoughts on the weather this week...GET IN THERE

Maverick McNealy -120 ($10,300) vs Sam Burns -110 ($10,500)

In a field this light, the likes of Mav McNealy and Sam Burns make up the heavyweights in the $10k range where we have a significant DFS price vs odds discrepency.

Both players have similar resumes at TPC Twin Cities: each has three prior starts, featuring one top-10, another top-10 and an additional top-50. Of the two, Mav has come the closest to an outright win with his T3 last year, coming up two shots shy of Jonatthan Vegas in 2024.

According to our Nut Hut Ownership Projections available in the Discord, both are among the most popular DFS plays this week at over 20%-owned — in fact, Mav is the No. 1 pick according to our data at just over 29%.

Over-Unders for the 3M Open

Following the final major of the year, we’re back to the birdie-fests as those who are on the outside looking in for the FedEx Cup Playoffs will need to make a final push over the next two weeks.

We just mentioned Sam Burns’ solid record at this event, and prior to leaving for the U.K. a couple weeks back for the Scottish followed by the Open, he’d put together a really strong stretch of golf that included five-straight top-20 finishes.

Knapp has had it working since his T4 at the Rocket, bagging now three-straight top-25s. Without an invite to Portrush last week, he should be well rested and over any jet lag that others might be facing.

BTN Weekly Prop Play 
2025 Record: (7-17-3) [-10 units]

Cam Champ (+110) v Sungjae Im

We’re going to ride our model favorite Cam Champ this week with a juicy plus-money line against Sungjae Im, who is ranked almost dead last in the BTN Model. Sungjae has had abysmal approach and putting numbers of recent, and he’s missed 4 cuts in his last 8 events.

The one thing Sungjae has going for him is accuracy off the tee, but that won’t do him much good with poor approach play and inefficient putting. Cam on the other hand, had a blip last weekend with an MC at the Barracuda, but he’s finished T30 in the remaining 4 of his last 5 events and has consistently been gaining strokes in every part of his game. Considering the recent form of these two players, we’re salivating at this line.

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR ignore the play. 

Last week’s Open Championship wrapped up the 2025 Major Championship season, but there’s still important golf left to be played with the FedEx Cup Playoffs and the Ryder Cup looming this fall.

Many of golf’s brightest stars are taking a week off ahead of the final playoff push, but valuable points (and cash) are on the line in Minnesota this week for the 3M Open. TPC Twin Cities returns as the longtime host of this late-season staple, so we have plenty of historical data and previous experience to learn from as we handicap this event in search of this week’s Chalk Bomb.

For those unfamiliar, the Chalk Bomb is limited to players projected at over 15% ownership in DFS according to our proprietary projections available in the Tour Junkies Discord.

As always, we start with our friends at Bet the Number and their proprietary model informed by years of data and local knowledge from the Twin Cities. This week, they’re keying in on: Strokes Gained Off the Tee, Strokes Gained Approach from 100-190 yards, Scrambling Percentage and Strokes Gained Putting from 6 to 15 feet. All stats are calculated over the last 24 rounds.

Here’s where this week’s Chalk Bomb ranks in the field of 156 in those categories:

SG: OTT — 27th
SG: Approach from 100-190 — 90th
Scrambling — 110th
SG: Putting from 6’-15’ — 136th

Those are… not ideal to say the least. Especially paired with his record and lack of experience at TPC Twin Cities. In just two starts (2019 & 2020), this player has only managed a missed cut and a T46.

While he’s certainly capable of a better finish this time around, expecting a decent return on a $9200 DFS investment may be wishful thinking. So at that price with an expected ownership percentage north of 15%…

Si Woo Kim, you are the Chalk Bomb!

I wonder if the inventor of QR codes knew he was about to ruin restaurant menus forever.

Do people from India actually like India Pale Ales? Seems like “hazy pomegranate” doesn’t exactly match the Indian flavor profile.

The whole concept of a ‘ghost kitchen’ bothers me. How is one kitchen able to sell shrimp fried rice AND steak tacos? How good can you be at either if you’re committed to making both?

Alright folks—that’s all I’ve got for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Stay well, and good luck with all your PGA DFS lineups and bets. BOME!