The 2024 Shriners Children's Open

1. SG: Off the Tee Leaders last 36 rounds: 1. Dougherty  2. Champ  3. Vegas 4. Hoey 5. Fishburn 6. Young, Carson 7. Mitchell 8. Smalley 9. Stevens 10. Kim, Tom

2. SG: Approach Leaders last 36 rounds: 1. Ghim 2. Spaun 3. Griffin, Ben 4. Mitchell 5. Norlander  6. Kizzire 7. Skinns  8. Hardy 9. Hoge 10. Kim, Tom

3. SG: ARG Leaders last 36 rounds:  1. Simpson 2. Thompson 3. Hall 4. McNealy  5. Hossler 6. Shelton 7. Baddeley 8. Pan  9. Bramlett 10. Kim, Chan

4. SG: Putting last 36 rounds:  1. Montgomery 2. Coody, Pierceson 3. Whaley  4. Silverman  5. Bridgeman 6. Stevens 7. Kuchar 8. English  9. Suh 10. Kim, S.H.

5. SG: APP from 100-155 last 30 rounds: 1. Putnam 2. Pendrith 3. Kohles 4. Hoge 5. Kizzire 6. Sloan 7. Ghim 8. Dumont de Chassart 9. Grillo 10. Davis, Cam

6. Top 10 in Driving Accuracy last 36 rounds: 1. Kohles 2. Reavie 3. Young, Carson 4. Blair 5. Svensson  6. Todd 7. Garnett 8. Molinari, F.  9. Berger 10. Moore, Ryan

7. Top 10 in Birdie Percentage last 36 rounds: 1. Mitchell  2. Crowe 3. Cole 4. Kim, Chan 5. Hall  6. Hossler 7. Young, Carson 8. Smalley 9. Vegas 10. Kizzire

8. Top 10 in Par 5 Scoring Average last 36 rounds: 1. Cole 2. Smalley 3. Tarren  4. Bramlett  5. Hall 6. Vegas 7. Fishburn  8. Spaun 9. Kim, S.H. 10. Norlander

9. SG: Total at TPC Summerlin last 16 rounds: 1. Kim, Tom 2. Hadwin  3. NeSmith 4. Cole  5. Hall 6. Laird 7. Schenk 8. Hoge 9. Griffin, Lanto 10. Poston

10. DataGolf Course History vs Expectation: 1. Kim, Tom 2. Hall 3. NeSmith 4. Schmid  5. Taylor, Ben 6. Willett 7. Hadwin 8. Cole 9. Schenk 10. Hossler

The weather is cool by desert standards, but major increases in wind speed from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning will keep the golfers on their toes this week. If the current forecast holds, there would be a significant breeze advantage for the AM/PM wave.

For final analysis on weather advantages and tee times, make sure you tune into the Nut Hut live chat starting around 9pm ET for the latest and final thoughts on the weather this week...GET IN THERE

Seamus Power -120 ($9300) vs. Davis Thompson -110 ($10,300)

Our marquee mismatch this week features one of the biggest price-to-odds discrepancies we’ve seen all year as Seamus Power is a slight favorite over Davis Thompson in a four-round H2H despite the Irishman’s thousand-dollar discount on DraftKings DFS.

Both players are familiar with TPC Summerlin with seven prior starts between them, (though Seamus has five of the seven). But despite the smaller sample size, Thompson has the better record with two top-40 finishes including a T12 in his first visit two years ago.

According to our Nut Hut ownership projections available in the Discord, these two are neck-and-neck as some of the most popular plays in DFS this week. At around 19%-owned, the pair ranks third and fourth behind only Tom Kim and Taylor Pendrith.

Over/Unders for the Shriners Children’s Open

We’re riding a little hot streak with back-to-back Underdog wins this fall and looking to keep it rolling with a two-legger. Both Hall and Webber are in the easier morning wave before the winds pick up, so I like them to capitalize and shoot -3 or better on Thursday.

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. 

Where the Underdog plays have been cookin’, the Chalk Bomb has… not.

We tagged Lucas Glover last week and the old man went out and got himself a second-straight third-place finish.

But we’re back for more punishment at the Shriners on a course where we have much more familiarity than last week’s debut appearance for Black Desert.

As a reminder, the Chalk Bomb is limited to players projected at over 15% ownership in DFS according to our proprietary projections available in the Tour Junkies Discord. This week, we have nine golfers to choose from.

Thanks to plenty of course history at TPC Summerlin, Bet the Number has a pretty sharp model with all the need-to-know data points to help us pick a loser this week. On a birdiefest short track with very few driver holes, BTN has honed in Driving Accuracy, SG: APP with the short irons and Birdie or Better %.

These numbers all point to one particular Chalk Bomb hopeful who has the following rankings in these categories among this week’s field:

• Driving Accuracy: 115th

• SG: APP 125-200 yards: 56th

• Birdie or Better Percentage: 39th

This is all over the last 30 rounds mind you, and yes … there are only 121 golfers in the field this week.

The one major bright spot for this guy is his record at TPC Summerlin which boasts a T3 here last year, but it’s a small sample size as that was just his second-ever start at this event — his first being a missed cut.

I guess the recency bias is behind his 18% ownership according to our projections, but that’s too high for me to back a guy whose underlying metrics suggest this course isn’t a great fit.

So here’s to you, Eric Cole, you are this week’s Chalk Bomb!

Technically a bowl can hold the same things a plate can if not more. So really plates are just unnecessary and just for looks.

One good thing about being in great shape from a cardio standpoint is you have less chance of swallowing as many bugs as someone in poor cardio shape when walking or running outside.

I don’t think people pay enough attention to the quality of their ice. A lot of you out there are using dirty unfiltered ice and you need to be aware of this. Be better with your ice selection and care. Thanks.

Alright folks, that’s all I got this week for the Shriners Children’s Open. Stay well and good luck with all your lineups and bets. Bome!