Shriners 2022 Heavy Petting

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If golf research were sexual...you'd be rounding 2nd base after this.

Here are a few key things to know that may not have been covered on the podcast enough. Keep these in mind when narrowing down your bets and/or player pool.

Most recent winners played a Fall event before the Shriners and most made the cut (Na played and MC’d, but this is a home game for him)

Since 2010, there have been 15 first round leaders come out of the AM wave and only 5 out of the PM wave. Keep that in mind for showdowns and FRL bets.

Per DataGolf, TPC Summerlin is one of the easiest courses on the regular PGA TOUR rotation.

Given the elevation and course layout, there are considerably more approach opportunities inside 150 yards for everyone in the field. Ultimately, this will turn into a wedge it close + putting contest.

The average GIR % is 74.6 at Summerlin. It’s been top 5 to 10 easiest on the PGA TOUR since 2015 for GIR %.

All 3 par 5's carry a birdie rate over 39%. All 3 are gettable by most of the field.

Last year, more people in the top 15 lost strokes off the tee than gained off the tee. While we've added Good Drives Gained to our model, the weight for it is less than normal.

 Top 12 Stokes Gained VS Expectation per DataGolf: Nesmith, Im, Cantlay, Hossler, Schenk, Hadwin, Kizzire, Laird, Streb, Kang, Cook, Spaun, HadleyTop 12 Strokes Gained

Bottom 12 Strokes Gained VS Expectation per DataGolf: Armour, Chappell, Burgoon, D. Lee, Homa, Sabbatini, Rodgers, Herman, Reavie, Norlander, Kirk, Pan

DataGolf's optimal DK lineup is Cantlay, Im, Power, Hubbard, Rodgers, & Frittelli

 LIV Golf + Behind The Scenes as a Rookie + Caddie Controversy + Fist Fights + Cobras & MORE! The interviews with Sigg & EVR were fantastic. Both guys were extremely candid, funny and interesting. Even if you're strictly the DFS/Betting data nerd, you'll enjoy our conversations about statistics and how these guys find form week to week. 

1. Strokes gained OTT leaders from last 24 rounds: 1.Im 2. Pendrith 3. Mitchell 4. Buckley 5. Champ 6. Clark 7. Gotterup 8. Duncan 9. Grillo 10. Hickok2. Rounds gained % putting leaders on bent grass: 1. McCarthy 2. Kuchar 3. Hadley 4. Ryder 5. Herbert 6. Merritt 7. Homa 8. Mitchell 9. Clark 10. Streelman3. Strokes gained T2G leaders in the last 3 calendar months: 1. Im 2. Cantlay 3. J. Kim 4. Pendrith 5. Hoffman 6. Moore 7. Griffin 8. Grillo 9. Tarren 10. Davis4. On courses 7200-7400 yards, easy scoring & bermuda greens, your top 10 in total strokes gained: 1. Im 2. Wise 3. Ben An 4. Buckley 5. Moore 6. Fowler 7. Schenk 8. Moore 9. Sabbatini 10. Streelman5. Top 10 JUST strokes gained ball striking on courses 7200-7400 yards, easy scoring, & short rough: 1. Moore 2. Piercy 3. Pereira 4. Im 5. Woodland 6. Ben An 7. Knox 8. Laird 9. Mitchell 10. Sabbatini6. Top 10 in birdies or better gained the last 50 rounds: 1. Cantlay 2. Grillo 3. Kitayama 4. Riley 5. Jaeger 6. Davis 7. Wise 8. McNealy 9. Homa 10. Griffin7. Top 10 GIR's gained at TPC Summerlin: 1. Im 2. Cantlay 3. Knox 4. Streelman 5. Hadwin 6. Dahmen 7. Moore 8. NeSmith 9. KH Lee 10. Watney8. Top 10 in GIR's gained the last 12 rounds: 1. Im 2. J Kim 3. Montgomery 4. Grillo 5. Harman 6. Mitchell 7. Knox 8. Hoffman 9. Streelman 10. Rai9. The two highest approach shot distribution buckets this week are 200+ & 125-150, your top 10 in proximity: 1. Wise 2. Eckroat 3. Grillo 4. Armour 5. Griffin 6. Pereira 7. Davis 8. Stanley 9. Merritt 10. Kitayama10. Top 10 projected points per salary dollar (good values): 1. Cantlay 2. Im 3. Hubbard 4. Power 5. Herbert 6. Mitchell 7. Clark 8. Putnam 9. Fittelli 10. Wise

Going with a 4 way FLEX play here. The 68's required for Hadwin & Hoge were attractive as both have very strong records at TPC Summerlin and both men have already played a Fall event. Plus, they're both early morning round 1 tee times. Love it. Remember, the cut line will likely be -5 to -7, so...better shoot 68 or better the first 2 days or you're going home. Par 71. The BoB matchups are simply about picking the far better player here. Grillo has been on fire lately and Ramey stinks. C Bez is coming off a President's cup debut and Wu sucks. Easy money if you ask me. Tail at your own risk. #BOME

Korn Ferry Tour Graduates (now PGA TOUR Rookies) You NEED TO KNOW!

Name : Davis Thompson

Order of Merit or Finals Ranking : 14th order of merit

From : St. Simons Island, Georgia

College: UGA

Plays out of : St. Simons Island, Georgia

KFT Wins / Top 25s / Top 10s : 1 win / 7 top 25 / 4 top 10

KFT Made Cuts/Missed Cuts : 13/21

Driving Distance & Rank : 6th 

Driving Accuracy % & Rank : 33rd

GIR% & Rank : 32nd 

Putting Average Rank : 68th

Scrambling Rank : 95th

Birdie or Better % & Rank : 40th

OTHER STATS : 4th Total Driving

Name : Nick Hardy

Order of Merit or Finals Ranking : NA

From : Illinois

College: University of Illinois

Plays out of : Illinois

OTHER Pertinent Info : Wrist injury mid season. Ended up 126 in FedEx standings. Got through KFT finals. Played 21 events this season on the PGA TOUR. Highlights were 14th at USO and T8 at Travelers. Played in 5 USO’s w/ a T14 and a T27. Made the cut 3 of 5.

PODCAST INTEL: Loves tough courses. Great total driver. Good distance. Likes courses that reward total driving and aren’t wedge fests (eh hem...Shriners). Wedges are the weakness. Much better putter than the stats would say. Likes POA. Hates PGA West because it’s a wedge fest. Loves Torrey Pines.