Sanderson CB 23

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Looks like things from a wind standpoint could pick up a bit for the group in the Friday afternoon wave. Ideal conditions that morning for players going out early.For final thoughts on waves, weather, and more...make sure to join the LIVE chat tonight starting around 9 PM ET in the NUT HUT.

Beau Hossler -115 ($9200) vs. Adam Svensson -105 ($9000)

The main reason for highlighting matchup #1 is the line movement we have seen over the last 2 days at the sharp market making books. Svensson opened up a +122 underdog before seeing consistent bettors grab his side and push him over the even money line.He really started clicking with his irons again late in the season, which has always been his strength as a player. Hossler on the other hand has been slipping T2G consistently and even his sometimes red hot putter has appeared to cool off to end last season.The Svensson side is going to be attractive to DFS Players as it looks like he could be one of the higher owned players of the week. You can definitely grab some savings with Hossler if you wanted to, it looks like he is projected around 10% for the week.

Scott Stallings -153 ($7200) vs. Carson Young +127 ($7100)

Here is an interesting matchup to look at where both players are essentially priced the same in DFS and we expect ownership to be relatively similar, yet we have seen heavy sharp action on Stallings in the head to head markets.This was originally posted to the betting board with Stallings as a modest -127 favorite before the sharks to a bite out of the much more veteran player here. Stallings has plenty of solid course history to lean on in Jackson while Carson Young is just playing it for the second time after missing the cut last season.On the other hand if you look at current form, the edge has to go to Carson Young who is coming off a top 20 at the Fortinet while Stallings hasn't finished better than 56th since the Scottish Open in the summer.

Nick Hardy-115 ($7400) vs. Peter Kuest -105 ($7400)

A solid 3rd matchup here that I have some personal extra interest in with both players on my betting card. Hardy is the favorite in the outright markets and a slight favorite in the head to head here, albeit Kuest has closed the gap over the last 2 days.It's likely Hardy didn't quite get the credit he deserved for a solid summer with top 20 finishes at the 3M open, John Deere, and also the US Open. His form around the Country Club of Jackson is also great as he placed 5th and 26th in his first career starts here.Kuest is looking to repeat the Cam Champ formula here as he is likely the longest guy in the entire field. He's a good 20 yards past the average tour player, which if he can keep it relatively straight, is a massive advantage this week. I lean Hardy but can see value on both sides this week. It may come down to the ownership angle.

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. Before we delve to far into this week, a self pat on the back and toast is due for issuing that Chalk Bomb moniker on our guy Akshay Bhatia for the Fortinet Championship who easily missed the cut just hours after enjoying his engagement in Napa. Who could have seen that coming? This guy.Let's see if we can do it once again this week for the Sanderson Farms at the tour heads to Jackson, MS and we make a case for the player that is likely to implode your lineups. Buyer beware as always!Here is the thing about the CC of Jackson course, it oddly has shown to reward various different skill sets of players over the years. There aren't many stops that will give you champions like Ryan Armour and Cam Champ within a few years of one another at the same golf course. Different ways to skin that cat as they say, but in my opinion, the easiest path to success is SENDING it with the Driver and hitting your approach shots from 20 yards further down the hole.When analyzing the top players in the field and those who appear to be garnering the most ownership, there is one that sticks out and lacks punch off the tee. This player is currently inside the top 5 in projected ownership in many spots while ranking a measly 122nd in the field in Driving Distance. Consistently starting behind the 8 ball off the tee is tough to make up for at this course, especially given the diminished penalty that could inhibit some of the big hitters. There is really not much standing in the way to prohibit guys from deploying a full bomb and gauge approach at this course.The next thing, when looking at recent champions, what do they all have in common. Guys like Mack Hughes, Garcia, Burns, and Munoz are all flat out scorers. Players who have the ability to go super low on any given day because of their ability to make birdies in bunches when they are clicking.I ran a pretty balanced stat model this week overall, and this CB candidate was definitely inside my top 20. That said, of all 20 players, he ranked last in terms of birdie or better rates over the last 36 rounds played. I believe that could be a product of distance, but ultimately not being able to stack birdies on a course like this is going to be tough to overcome if you want to have a solid finish.I think the majority of people putting in lineups doing a quick look a research will cling to a decent run of form to end the year, but I have some questions when taking a deeper look. Of the 4 major stat categories, this player is gaining strokes on the field in only 1 of them (Approach play). He is losing strokes OTT, ARG, and Putting over the last 36 rounds played. I would like to see a more well rounded form, particularly at a golf course like this. Even though he has overcome this with a couple of good results lately, the course history has not been good in Jackson. The best finish this player has posted in the last 4 years at this tournament is a 45th last year.The only thing this player will be delivering on his little truck this week is a chalk bomb. Aren't we all sick of those corny commercials already!.At nearly 17% projected ownership in DFS, and a salary of $8,500, Sammy Ryder...you are the chalk bomb!

I feel like a lot of sickness this time of year is improperly blamed on the "weather change". I mean, you don't know that. Leave the weather alone. I am kind of glad that the people who said I wouldn't use any of the advanced math I learned in high school were right. I'm also pissed that they were right. What a waste of frustration and time. If there's such thing as a wrongfully persecuted vegetable it's the brussels sprout. I would rather just throw something away sometimes than try and untangle it.Alright, that’s all I got this week! I hope you enjoy the Sanderson Farms Chicken Championship. Stay well, good luck with your lineups and bets, and may your screens be green! Bome!