The Open 2022 Heavy Petting

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If golf research were sexual...you'd be rounding 2nd base after this.

Here are a few key things to know that may not have been covered on the podcast enough. Keep these in mind when narrowing down your bets and/or player pool.

• The O/U for winning score this week is -16.5 across the sportsbooks. With the lack of wind, The Old Course will give up plenty of birdies, but it won't give them up through being overpowered.

• Tiger Woods is -150 to make the cut. That's better than many are giving him credit for. Don't underestimate the value of experience around The Old Course and Links golf experience in general.

• Max Homa is paired with Tiger for the first 2 days. I'm not sure that's a good thing for Max.

• Of players with at least 10 rounds played in Open Championships since 2015, here are the best scoring averages: Spieth 69.1, Brooks 69.5, Rory 69.8, Finau 69.9, and Xander 70.0

• 7 Open Champions since 2010 played the Scottish Open the week before.

• In case you've missed it this week...Keith Mitchell's dad is an R&A member, his sister attended St Andrews University, and he's had many loops around The Old Course in his lifetime.

• The Old Course is played twice each year during The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. It is a different time of year, and the course plays different, but it's a true links test across the board. Hatton has won it twice, finished runner up twice and T10 all in the last 5 years.

• Rory said in his presser today, that we're likely to still see guys lay back on the shorter par 4s rather than try and get as close as possible so they have full shots in for control. #WedgePlayMatters

• 9 of the last 10 Open Champions had at least 1 top 10 in an Open Championship prior.

• 9 of the last 10 Open Champions have been ranked in the top 40 official world golf ranking.

• 8 of the last 10 Open Champions have had at least 1 top 10 in their 3 previous starts leading up to The Open.

• Most approach shots will come from the 75-150 yard range for every player in the field. This is not the mid to long iron test of a USO or PGA Championship.

• Players as of Tuesday afternoon that have already seen line movement AGAINST them in the Head to Head market making books: Horschel, Kirk, Garcia, Tiger, Hideki and Homa

• Players as of Tuesday afternoon that have already seen line movement FOR them in the Head to Head market making books: Fleetwood, Reed, Kitayama, Na, Cantlay, Thomas and Spieth

1. Total strokes gained leaders at the last 5 Open Championships: 1. Spieth 2. Stenson 3. Finau 4. McIIroy 5. Koepka 6. Rose 7. Fleetwood 8. Simpson 9. Schauffele 10. Molinari2. Strokes gained T2G leaders in the last 3 calendar months: 1. McIIroy 2. Young 3. Finau 4. Scheffler 5. Pereira 6. Schauffele 7. Spieth 8. Im 9. JT 10. Fitz3. On courses 7200-7400 yards, easy to hit fairways & greens, your top 10 in total strokes gained: 1. Scott 2. Cantlay 3. Rose 4. DJ 5. Spieth 6. ZJ 7. Niemann 8. Matsuyama 9. Reed 10. Bradley4. Top 10 JUST strokes gained ball striking on courses 7200-7400 yards, easy to hit fairways, & firm greens: 1. Woodland 2. Morikawa 3. Rahm 4. Woods 5. JT 6. Scheffler 7. Zalatoris 8. Finau 9. Scott 10. DeChambeau5. Top 10 in birdies or better gained the last 50 rounds: 1. Scheffler 2. McIIroy 3. Smith 4. JT 5. Cantlay 6. Young 7. Schauffele 8. Henley 9. Hovland 10. DeChambeau6. Total strokes gained leaders in windy conditions: 1. Rahm 2. JT 3. Morikawa 4. Simpson 5. Lowry 6. Spieth 7. Smith 8. Niemann 9. Homa 10. Scheffler7. Top 10 in GIR's gained the last 12 rounds: 1.Conners 2. Burns 3. Schauffele 4. Grillo 5. Rahm 6. Arnaus 7. Niemann 8. Poston 9. Scheffler 10. Im8. Top 10 projected points per salary dollar (good values): 1. Fox 2. Lowry 3. McIIroy 4. Power 5. Cantlay 6. Fitz 7. Niemann 8. Fleetwood 9. Mitchell 10. Wise9. List of people that have played in at least 3 of the last Open's & not missed the cut: Spieth, Finau, Koepka, Rose, Simpson, Schauffele, Fowler, Willet, Westwood, Pieters, Kisner10. Top values that play predominately on the Euro Tour: 1. Fox 2. Horsfield 3. Burmester 4. Pieters 5. Smith 6. Arnaus 7. Meronk 8. Li 9. Canter 10. Detry

We're going big balls flappin in the wind for DB's round 1 PP play for a 10x mandatory flex play. The BoB matchup plays are free squares honestly...if you ran this simulation 100 times, Rory and X win their matchups 70 times given their current state of play VS BK & Gooch. From there, I'm banking on C Bez, Homa, and Tommy Kankles to fire 71's or better. The wind is going to lay down for everyone on Thursday, and the Old Course's setup will be as easy as it should be all week for round 1. Any player not firing a -1 round is going to find themselves near the cutline heading into round 2. Given the strong play out of these 3 lately, -1 shouldn't be an issue given how scoring is likely to be low.

 Change Your Golf Betting Process NOW! We just simply can't stress to you enough how badly you need to watch this and take notes. Rufus has been a professional golf bettor for over 10 years, betting an average of $1.5 million per major. He enlightened the hell out of us with this interview. Don't ignore this content if you bet or play DFS.