HP 🍑 for the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship

First Look: Quail Hollow Club @ Charlotte, North Carolina

Check out DB’s full Course Breakdown for everything you need to know about this week’s venue including in-depth stats and data from Bet The Number.

After what seemed like a month of below-average golf on our televisions, the elevated Wells Fargo brings promises of bigger purses and bigger names atop the leaderboard. It was here this time last year that Wyndham Clark announced himself to the golf world before going on to win the U.S. Open later that summer. Will he finally get another win now that Scheffler is out of the field? Or will another join those two as the only elevated event winners so far this year?

Let’s get into it!

1. SG: Off the Tee Leaders last 30 rounds: 1. McIlroy  2. Clark 3. Kirk 4. Hovland 5. Kitayama  6. Schauffele 7. Schenk 8. Kim, S.W. 9. Young, Cam 10. An

2. SG: Approach Leaders last 30 rounds: 1. Hoge  2. Conners 3. Lowry 4. Finau 5. Knapp  6. Zalatoris 7. Young, Cam  8. Glover 9. Thomas 10. Bhatia

3. SG: ARG Leaders last 12 rounds:  1. Simpson 2. Matsuyama 3. Fowler 4. Moore, Taylor  5. Fleetwood 6. Jaeger 7. Poston  8. Bhatia 9. Cantlay 10. Hadwin

4. SG: Putting last 20 rounds on Correlated Courses:  1. Trainer 2. Malnati 3. Hughes  4. Bezuidenhout  5. Bhatia 6. Poston 7. Kuchar 8. Scott 9. Theegala 10. Ramey

5. SG: APP from 175-250 yds last 30 rounds: 1. Matsuyama 2. Hovland 3. Bryan  4. Hoge  5. Conners 6. Cantlay 7. Knapp 8. Lowry 9. Young, Cam 10. Fitzpatrick

6. SG: Putting from 8’-15’ last 16 rounds on Correlated Courses: 1. Bhatia 2. Svensson 3. Bezuidenhout  4. Schenk  5. Fitzpatrick  6. Malnati 7. Rodgers 8. Spieth  9. Moore, Taylor 10. Todd

7. Top 10 in Left Rough Tendency 36 rounds: 1. Kim, Tom  2. Hoge  3. Kim, S.W. 4. Fowler  5. Poston  6. Murray 7. Fleetwood 8. Lowry 9. Pavon 10. Spieth

8. Top 10 in GIR Percentage last 36 rounds: 1. Tway 2. Horschel  3. Finau 4. Clark  5. Conners 6. Kirk 7. Putnam  8. Hovland  9. Bradley 10. Rodgers

9. Top 10 in Bogey Avoidance last 36 rounds: 1. Schauffele 2. Putnam  3. Tway 4. Horschel  5. Hoge 6. Fleetwood 7. Clark 8. Henley 9. Kuchar 10. Kim, S.W.

10. SG: Total (Per Rd vs Field) at Quail Hollow last 12 rounds: 1. Todd 2. McIlroy 3. Day  4. Homa  5. Hovland 6. Grillo 7. Clark 8. Fowler 9. Schauffele 10. Thomas

Over/Unders for the Wells Fargo

Rain early in the week will soften conditions ahead of the opening round, but a big front carrying high winds is expected to roll through on Thursday, and that could make scoring even more difficult than it already is at QH. As a result, most of my plays for Round 1 are Overs, but I love Hideki and Tommy’s ability to keep bogeys off the card and shoot better than par.

Matsuyama shows up No. 1 in our Bet The Number models this week, but the same can’t be said of Tom Kim, whose lack of power OTT and his poor putting and scrambling will be a major problem on this tough setup.