HP 🍑 for the 2024 John Deere Classic

First Look: TPC Deere Run @ Silvis, Illinois

It’s the dog days of summer on the PGA TOUR, and the less-than-riveting events roll on as we stay in the Midwest for the John Deere Classic. Even though most of the stars are resting up for the year’s final major, now is the time for the next crop of stars to make their name in the absence of the established players. Who will it be this week …?

Let’s get into it!

1. SG: Off the Tee Leaders last 36 rounds: 1. Mitchell 2. Yu 3. Spieth 4. Tosti 5. Stevens  6. Thompson 7. Rai 8. McNealy 9. Im 10. Meissner

2. SG: Approach Leaders last 36 rounds: 1. Straka  2. Yu 3. Rai 4. Skinns 5. Berger  6. Mitchell 7. Glover 8. Griffin, Ben 9. Sigg 10. Wu, Dylan

3. SG: ARG Leaders last 36 rounds:  1. Shelton 2. Stevens 3. Gotterup 4. Thompson 5. Im 6. Hossler 7. Campillo  8. Pan 9. Moore, Ryan 10. Meissner

4. SG: Putting last 36 rounds:  1. McCarthy 2. Kuchar 3. Kim, S.H. 4. Silverman 5. Day 6. McCormick 7. Hossler 8. Stevens 9. Oleson 10. Wu, Dylan

5. SG: APP from 120-180 yds last 36 rounds: 1. Garnett 2. Lower 3. Campillo 4. Kim, Chan  5. Griffin, Lanto 6. Sigg 7. Dumont de Chassart 8. Smalley 9. Highsmith 10. Campos

6. SG: Putting from 8’-15’ last 36 rounds 1. Gotterup 2. Kuchar 3. Moore, Ryan 4. Riley  5. Hardy 6. Lee, K.H. 7. Rodgers, Patrick 8. Mitchell  9. Shelton 10. Tway

7. Top 10 in Par-5 Scoring last 36 rounds: 1. Kim, Chan 2. Stevens  3. Tarren 4. Fishburn  5. Hoey  6. Bridgeman 7. Kim, S.H. 8. Hadley 9. Power 10. Rai

8. Top 10 in SG: Tee-to-Green at TPC Deere Run last 12 rounds: 1. Sigg 2. Power 3. Smalley 4. Glover  5. NeSmith 6. Villegas 7. Wu, Dylan  8. Ghim 9. Poston 10. Straka

9. Top 10 in Data Golf Performance vs Expectation: 1. Gotterup 2. Thorbjornsen  3. Yu, Kevin 4. Sigg 5. Alexander 6. Tarren 7. Kizzire 8. Power 9. Higgo 10. Schenk

10. Top 10 in SG: Total at TPC Deere Run last 12 rounds:
1. Rai 2. Thompson 3. Stevens 4. McNealy 5. Clanton 6. Im 7. Skinns 8. Dahmen 9. Silverman 10. Phillips

Over/Unders for the John Deere Classic

The John Deere routinely sees winning scores better than -20, and soft conditions expected in the Tri-Cities should mean even easier scoring conditions. With that in mind, I’m sending it on 4-leg uninsured parlay backing guys to (mostly) go low.

According to our guy DB in the Tour Junkies Discord, the average bogeys-per-round at this event over the last few years is right at 2, but I like these guys to take advantage of the gettable conditions and go under that. As for Schenk, he’s been in horrific form as of late with ZERO top-50 finishes since early May — so I doubt he’s going to suddenly drop five birdies on our heads…

These are the uninsured plays for this week, so here’s hoping for a 4/4 and a big payout… BOME