Genesis 2023 HP

HP 🍑 for The Genesis Invitational

February 14, 2023

If golf research were sexual...you'd be rounding 2nd base after this.

Here are a few key things to know that may not have been covered on the podcast enough. Keep these in mind when narrowing down your bets and/or player pool.It's ridiculously tough to try and top last week's elevated WMPO Tournament, but the best way is to toss us another elevated status event this week and throw in Tiger Woods. Bang! The Genesis Invitations annually provides us with probably the best non-major tournament on the PGA Tour Schedule, and the new 20 Million dollar purse that is in place for 2023 should only continue to bring the best out of the top-end talent on the PGA Tour. Here are some interesting tidbits to keep in mind when doing your research on Riviera Country Club this week:

  • While not the most narrow, statistically Riviera CC had the toughest fairways to hit last year on Tour, with an average of only 49.2% last season.

  • 2nd Largest greens on Tour yet very tough in terms of GIR rates.

  • Typically the closest course setup we see to Major Championship levels, put in place by Tiger Woods to provide players the best prep for upcoming Major SZN

  • Do NOT underestimate the importance of putting on these fast, slopey, tricky, pure POA green surfaces. It's one reason experience around here matters more than normal.

  • 4 of the last 5 winners have come into the week 50/1+ in the betting market.

  • 90% of the winners since 2005 had played in the Genesis Open at least 4 prior times before their win.

  • Riviera features some of the deepest and most difficult bunkers on tour to get up and down from.

  • DataGolf has Riviera near the very top in terms of courses where experience / course history play a decent role in success.

  • Kikuya grass is rather unique. It's sticky and difficult to chip out of. It's very common in Australia and South Africa. Torrey Pines is one of the few places that features Kikuya in the fairways and rough.

  • Per Justin Ray, recent winners here have averaged 2x more strokes gained around the green than the average event on the PGA TOUR.

Here is the Data Golf radar plot on course fit for Riviera CC:

Approach Shot distribution chart: (DataGolf)

DataGolf Stats:

Top 8 in SG VS Expectation (min 16 rounds) at Riviera : Homa, Hahn, KH Lee, Holmes, Scott, Rodgers, Poston, Taylor

Bottom 8 in SG VS Expectation (min 16 rounds) at Riviera : WOODS! , Streb, Piercy, Streelman, Glover, Molinari, Lee, Vegas

Draftkings Optimal Lineup per DataGolf:

Scheffler, Young, Hatton, Montgomery, Mitchell, Hossler

2 DFS Sleepers for The Genesis Invitational 2023

DB's taken an early look at ownership projections around the DFS space, and he's attempting to sell you on 2 names with upside and high ownership leverage in GPP tournaments on DraftKings and FanDuel.2 Names in 12 Minutes. Click below & see if DB sells ya!

1. Strokes Gained T2G Leaders from Last Years Genesis in the field this week: 1. Young  2. Morikawa  3. Rahm  4. Scheffler  5. Thomas  6. Hovland  7. Laird  8. Zalatoris  9.Homa  10. Scott2. Weighted Strokes Gained Approach in Last 24 Rounds: 1. Hoge  2. Scheffler  3. Fowler  4. Finau  5. Knox  6. Morikawa  7. Schauffele  8. Ryder  9. Steele  10. Hardy3. DFS Fantasy Points Gained since start of 2023:  1. Rahm  2. Homa  3. Rose  4. Morikawa  5. Montgomery  6. Schauffele  7. Wu  8. Clark  9. Day  10. Finau4. Leaders in Total SG Adjustment for Course Fit at Riviera via DataGolf: 1. Brehm  2. Holmes  3. Tway  4. Byrd  5. Mullinax  6. Watney  7. Frittelli  8. Herbert  9. Tarren  10. Clark5. Top 10 in SG: Putting at Riviera CC Last 24 rounds : 1. Scott  2. Kuchar  3. Clark  4. Taylor  5. McCarthy  6. Griffin  7. Rodgers  8. English  9. Rahm  10. Todd6. Top 10 in Opportunities Gained at Riviera CC Last 24 rounds: 1. Thomas  2. Woods  3. McIlroy  4. Donald  5. Watney  6. Rahm  7. Burns  8. Hovland  9. Scott  10. Young7. Top 10 Bogey Avoidance Last 50 Rounds: 1. McIlroy  2. Finau  3. Fitzpatrick  4. Scheffler  5. Schauffele  6. Lowry  7. Harman  8. Cantlay  9. Matsuyama  10. Putnam8. Top 10 Players in highest approach shot distribution bucket (150-175): .1 T Kim  2. Zalatoris  3. Hubbard  4. Spieth  5. Scheffler  6. Morikawa  7. Rose  8. Dahmen  9. NeSmith  10. Young9.  Top 10 projected points per salary dollar (good values):  1. McIlroy  2. Cantlay  3. Noren  4. Montgomery  5. Finau  6. Hatton  7. Rodgers  8. Bradley  9. Jaeger  10. Young10. Top 10 in Scrambling + Sand Saves Last 36 Rounds: 1. T Kim  2. Kuchar  3. Horschel  4. Harman  5. Willett  6. Bez  7. Spaun  8. Hodges  9. Rahm  10. Im

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