Fortinet CB 23

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Winds are normal and steady both Thursday and Friday. It picks up slightly both afternoons but overall I don't see a big advantage here either way. The sun will be out and conditions should be ideal.For final thoughts on waves, weather, and more...make sure to join the LIVE chat tonight starting around 9 PM ET in the NUT HUT.

Chez Reavie +100 ($8500) vs. Lucas Herbert -120 ($8800)

We are taking a deeper look into this matchup due to the significant line movement we have seen offshore and at several sharp sportsbooks. In many spots, Chez opened up a +135 underdog before consistently being bet down to his current number at even money.Data golf has their projected number similar to the opener at +131 for Reavie for their true odds. I think the money came in mostly due to his solid course history finishing top 33 in 4 of the last 5 years at this event and a general stretch of good play that he has had in California.In terms of ownership in DFS, the latest projections in the Nut Hut Research center would indicate that Herbert could come in sub 5% ownership! Reavie on the other hand is checking in at around 16-17%.

Sahith Theegala -139 ($9800) vs. Stephan Jaeger +116 ($10,200)

Your first clue that we have entered the PGA Tour Fall swing was a $10k+ Stephan Jaeger! Sheesh. He's the third highest priced player in DFS this week despite being a decent sized underdog in the Head to Head market against Theegala.The matchup more closely mirrors that true outright betting odds and there are reasons to definitely be optimistic about Theegala here. Still in search for his maiden victory on Tour, Silverado has been a bright spot on the schedule for the young stud from Pepperdine.Theegala finished last season with consecutive top 15 finishes before just failing to qualify for the Tour Championship. Jaeger was by no means a slouch either, he actually recorded top 30 or better finishes in 5 straight events down the stretch. Sahith looks like he may be one of the highest owned players of the week in Fantasy, potentially checking in just behind Homa at the top.

Christian Bezuidenhout -115 ($7800) vs. Austin Eckroat -105 ($7800)

I wanted to highlight this matchup for two reasons. First, I think this $7,000 price range in DFS is going to make or break your lineups this week. You have to choose wisely here if you want to win in my opinion. Second, if you follow the dollars coming in for this head to head matchup, they don't line up with current ownership projections.The latest Nut Hut Projections have Eckroat nearly double the ownership of Bez, 5% vs. 10%. That said, Bez actually opened up as a +110 underdog before sharp bettors flipped the line to the current favorite at -115.Austin Eckroat of course has the incredible stretch around the time of the US Open early in the summer but has since cooled missing his last 4 cuts. It's likely going to come down to where you place your emphasis in terms of priority stats, if you favor OTT Eckroat is much better. If you think we have a putting contest coming up, you may want to go with the ownership savings on Bez.

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. WE ARE BACK and ready to dish out that one guy in the slate who everybody likes that is most likely to completely blow up your lineups. Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome back to the chalk bomb article, the most dangerous piece of content in the game. We are willing to take on dragons, and I'm not going to lie, sometimes you will get burnt up when they breathe the fire, but we have had a historically great track record of isolating players like to disappoint to bestow the honor of being the official TourJunkies Chalk Bomb!The first place I like to start is always with the golf course. It's the only sport in the world where the competition field changes drastically from week to week. Every player in the field has a preference in terms of course setup and historical data will undoubtedly tell you that certain players perform at different levels based on these setups. Silverado is a short par 72 that maxes out at 28 yards wide at the 250 yard mark and narrows down inside 25 yards wide when you get to 300 yards where the average PGA Tour drive now rests. While the rough in many spots is not overly penal, there are doglegs and giant California oaks and redwoods that will have you chipping out sideways if you miss to far off line.We have seen players like Cam Champ have success deploying a bomb and gauge strategy here. That said, on the whole, this place is more of an examination of accuracy versus power in my opinion. 9 of the top 10 players last year were positive in good drives gained. In order to make the 20-25 birdies that are required to lift a trophy, you have much better odds at sticking your approach shots close coming from the fairways into these tricky and tiny greens. The player that we have honed in on this week for the chalk bomb struggles T2G on golf courses under 7200 yards, ranking 87th in the field.This player had a strong summer, but when you look closer at the events he played with what I would consider to be solid comps, the numbers took a substantial dip across the board. Tournaments this summer they played like the Wyndham, Rocket Mortgage, The Colonial, The Heritage, courses that often ask a player to club down and place an increased emphasis on accuracy off the tee, this player failed to finish inside 55th place in any of those events. The second most important thing this week is you want to compete is the ability to make putts consistently. Last year at this event, it came down to the wire between Homa and Danny Willett, with both players gaining over 4 strokes putting on the week. Montgomery finished 3rd and he gained over 11 strokes putting! Wow. The player we are looking at for this weeks chalk bomb has lost strokes putting in 8 of his last 9 events and has averaged losing over 2 strokes putting per tournament in his last 5. That's epically bad and even though we know putting can be highly variable, it's unlikely to me that this flips substantially enough in the positive direction this week.The week features more approach shots from inside of 150 yards than almost any event all season. Over 50% of all approach shots come from 75-150 yards, which is about 14% more than an average PGA Tour event. The chalk bomb this week did not have their wedges super dialed in to end last season. When we ran a combined model pulling in proximity data from all of these ranges over the long term, this player was outside the top 40 in the field this week. We are taking about a highly aggressive player on a short course with narrow fairways that emphasizes your wedges and putting. That's not exactly the recipe to click this players name for your lineups.Lastly, they just got engaged like 3 days ago. They are in wine country. Take that how you will...At nearly 17% projected ownership in DFS, and a salary of $8,700, Akshay Bhatia...you are the chalk bomb!

Yogurt is just a very successful version of spoiled milk. Good job yogurt. I don’t understand why people like Jellybeans. It’s a lazy candy if you ask me. If you could eat a scented candle it would probably taste like Jellybeans. Whenever I am able to defeat a sneeze I feel a real since of accomplishment. A bread end piece is a perfectly fine substitute for a hot dog bun. Stop hating on end pieces so much people.Alright, that’s all I got this week! I hope you enjoy the Fortinet Championship in beautiful and tasty wine country. Stay well, good luck with your lineups and bets, and may your screens be green! Bome!