CJ Cup Chalk Bomb 💣💣💣

CJ Cup

Another Asian event that starts at 6:30 pm TODAY so lets jump right into the juicy stuff! A couple quick notes, it's going to be pretay pretay pretay windy. Because this is a small field no cut even, we only have a 2 hour difference from the first to last tee time both days, BUT if your looking for a tie breaker the guys with the later PM times today look to have the worst of the draw. Very tough course, bentgrass greens, lots of slope, good short games have the highest advantage. Leh Go!

Head to Head Matchups & Information

This is something I've been incorporating more & more into my weekly analysis, & is absolutely critical when trying to value one guy against another. Essentially we look at the head to head matchups posted on mybookie to see where the books disagree with the DFS world and where we can find value. Some weeks the DFS world & the books are in almost complete agreement, but most of the time there are clear differences of opinion that we can take advantage of. It almost always ends up being a great clue as to where the sharp money is & what the books were expecting, so lets dig in! (FYI, mainly just focusing on 'values' this week....I shouldn't need to highlight that JT is favored over everyone and Brooks is favored over everyone expect JT)

So this matchup jumps off the page because A. Oosty is $1100 cheaper this week than Billy, & B. Oosty is the -130 fav. I would guess that books see Louis as the better wind player, plays tough courses better, and is also in the first group off today so a slightly better draw. This just seems like a 'Tyrrell Hatton course' doesn't it? Don't need monster length, tough, requires good short game, windy....but you could also say the same about Cam. Hatton gets the edge because he generally gains a full stroke off the tee per event while Cam generally loses one. Another nice value here as Noren is $300 cheaper but the head to head fav. I actually like Noren quit a bit this week as he plays well on difficult courses plus he has really good splits on bentgrass. Any event that requires a good short game and good putting makes AS an auto fade for me. Yes, Cink is $200 more expensive, but he's going to carry a fraction of the ownership that Lovemark does, AND he's the -140 head to head favorite. Really clear value here as RCB is $600 cheaper AND has implied odds to beat Snedeker head to head about 60% of the time. Both have very good bentgrass splits and RCB played well here last year finishing T-11.The battle of the South Korean's! The battle of the 'World Class Players!' Pat was very bold in his proclamation that Sung-jae Im is officially a world class player on the pod this week, unfortunately for him he's matched up against an actual world class player in Benny An who is amazingly projected to be lower owned than Im.

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THE Chalk Bomb

Good week last week as neither chalk bomb player was remotely close to helping anyone win a GPP. It was a surprisingly easy decision to make this week as well. Facts about our guy this week:

-While he's slightly cheaper than last week, this would only be the third time in the last 6 months that he's been priced above $9k

-He played here last year, hit 70.8% of his greens in reg, and proceeded to shoot 5 over and finish 40th. 

-He was below field average in every metric that we have access to from last year's event (no strokes gained data since it's in Asia)

-Out of a field of 74 players, he currently ranks 62nd in strokes gained around the green

-Out of a field of 74 players, he currently ranks 57th in strokes gained putting (these are the two most important aspects this week)

-He has negative splits on difficult courses

-He has negative splits on windy courses

-He's played in 5 straight limited field events, and in 3 of them, he's gained 3.8 strokes or less tee to green which is supposed to be his strength

Our friends over at

Fansharesports.com

 have this guy projected at 19.3%, fifth highest in the field:

Gary Woodland, your the chalk bomb! (He's thanking God that he's the chalk bomb)

The Face of Fantasy Golf, and a Couple Facts1. If we only look at strokes gained on difficult courses, your top 10 in total strokes gained on difficult courses (last 50 rounds): 1. Brooks (no surprise) 2. Hideki 3. Casey 4. Day 5. JT 6. Leishman 7. Oosthuizen 8. Hoffman 9. Stanley 10. Moore2. I don't really believe in 'good wind players' but I know many do, so your top 10 players in 'windy' conditions ball striking (so not including around the green or putting): 1. Ryan Palmer 2. Kevin Chappell 3. Adam Scott 4. Charley Hoffman 5. Gary Woodland 6. Scott Piercy 7. Day 8. Benny An 9. Oosty 10. McDowell (Casey & Grillo would be next 2)3. Top 10 strokes gained putting on difficult bentgrass greens: 1. Grillo 2. Snedeker 3. Gay 4. Noren 5. Hadwin 6. Horschel 7. Poulter 8. Koepka 9. Hossler 10. Moore4. Top 10 strokes gained putting on all bentgrass greens: 1. Hossler 2. W. Kim 3. Grillo 4. Day 5. Horschel 6. Noren 7. Snedeker 8. Harman 9. McDowell 10. RCB5. Top 10 putts per round leaders the last 6 events: 1. JT (he's 'shaky' when it comes to the short game though according to David....he's gonna go down with that ship fighting to the very end) 2. JB Hooomes 3. Sung-jae IM 4. Leishman 5. Si Woo 6. Sharma 7. X 8. Ancer 9. Na 10. Cam Smith6. Being a par 72 this week, your top 10 in par 5 scoring the last 6 events they have played: 1. Sung-jae Im (keep in mind his stats are mostly Web.com stats) 2. JT 3. Casey 4. Noren 5. Koepka 6. Grace 7. Woodland 8. Tway 9. Oosty 10. Mitchell7. Strokes gained approach leaders the last 12 rounds: 1. Hideki (he's back!) 2. Horschel 3. Moore 4. Woodland 5. Stuard 6. Stanley 7. Benny An 8. Hatton 9. Casey 10. X8. Top 10 strokes gained short game on bent grass greens the last 25 rounds (so around the green plus putting): 1. Snedeker 2. JT (he's shaky though so be careful) 3. Hossler 4. Si Woo 5. Hatton 6. Noren 7. Uihlein 8. McDowell 9. Grillo 10. Gay9. Your top 10 putts per round leaders over the last calendar YEAR: 1. JT (he's shaky though) 2. Day (they are actually tied for 1st) 3. NA 4. Koepka 5. Gay 6. Walker 7. Cam Smith 8. Sang Park 9. Whee Kim 10. Snedeker10. Bottom 10 strokes gained short game on bent grass greens the last 25 rounds: 1. Dufner 2. Palmer 3. Mitchell 4. Steele 5. Sharma 6. Chappell 7. Piercy 8. Reavie 9. Spaun 10. Kizzire (Adam Scott & Gary Woodland are the next two) 

Win a FREE M4 Driver!

So we've got WAY to many listeners to not be seeing Goalby up at the top of the leaderboards every week in the DFS streets. If anyone finishes in the top 5 of the Tee To Green ($6), Albatross ($12), or Club Twirl ($44) on DraftKings, we'll send you a TJ hat, AND if you can take one down with the TJ logo at the top when it's all said & done, we'll send you a brand new TaylorMade driver on us! Literally all you have to do is change your avatar & screenshot us those green screens! Bome! Just use the link here to change your avatar: Tourjunkies Avatar