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The weather looks perfect all week. The sun will be shining along with the firm and fast fairways and greens in Ridgeland, SC. There's no weather wave to adjust for as of Wednesday afternoon.

As always, final weather thoughts will be discussed TONIGHT in the Nut Hut live chat starting around 9pmET and going until...GET IN THERE! 

Matt Fitzpatrick - 154 ($9,800) vs Max Homa +123 ($9,100)

I love this one! Yes, Fitzpatrick is more expensive but it appears that he will be half the ownership of Homa. Over the past 16 rounds, in no-cut events on Bermuda, Fitzpatrick ranks 5th in SG: Total, 2nd in SG: Short Game, 2nd in Putting on Bermuda, 8th in SG: ARG, and 5th in DK points.On the flip side, Homa ranks outside the Top 30 in every category. Also, Fitzpatrick is a favorite or even money against Im, Homa, Burns, and Hovland. Give me the guy much lower owned instead of the one who is preparing for a baby in a week!

Jordan Spieth -146 ($8,800) vs Tom Kim +116 ($8,900)

This one is interesting and not really a leverage play from price or ownership. They are right next to each other in pricing and ownership is ranging from 10-15%. However, Vegas seems to love Spieth this week and hates Tom Kim. Spieth is favored in matchups against Kim, Lowry, Hovland (in 1 book and a slight dog in another), and Morikawa. Spieth's press conference fired me up yesterday as he talked about the state of his game and how hard he's been working since the playoffs. He seems as ready as ever to have a huge year. I'm here for it!Kim is a dog to Spieth, Hatton, Im, Homa, and Young. I am nervous about the length of this course and the amount of travel for Kim. Also, I think Spieth looked great at the President’s Cup. I faded Kim all last week because I thought the course was not a great fit for him and I feel very similar this week.

Tommy Fleetwood -145 ($7,600) vs Scott Stallings +115 ($7,200)

Last week I thought it was a great place to fade Tommy Fleetwood and it worked out for us. This week I feel like he sets up perfectly for this course and Vegas seems to agree. This is similar to the Spieth and Kim matchup where these two golfers are similar in price and ownership. However, I think Stallings comes in much higher owned this week than Fleetwood. Over the past 12 rounds on Bermuda, Fleetwood ranks 2nd in DK points, 1st in putting, 1st in SG: Short Game, and 2nd in SG: TOT. Stallings ranks outside the Top 60 in DK pts, SG: Total, SG T2G, SG BS, SG: OTT, and SG: Approach. I think this is a great spot to fade Stallings.Fleetwood opened and remains a favorite over Scott, Si Woo and Jason Day on both market making books. Either player provides some decent leverage as they're both projected around 8%, but I prefer Tommy Lad in DFS.

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play.

Welp. Last week's call was interesting. Hideki certainly wasn't worth the price in DK as he was never really in the conversation, but news broke late Wednesday after the CB went out that he WD'd from the Pro Am earlier with neck/back issues (classic Deki) and his ownership tanked down to 14%. Oh well. This is a prediction so...get over it!This week stings a little bit because it is one of my favorite golfers for DK. I play him almost every week and I am usually willing to eat the chalk. However, this week it doesn’t feel right and the recent statistics seem to back it up. Over the past 20 tournaments, this golfer has lost 0.2 strokes around the green and has only gained 1.3 off the tee and 1.6 on approach. Over the last five tournaments, he has lost 0.3 strokes on approach and 0.5 around the green.In the H2H market, he's a dog to Lowry and Cam Young...but he should be, right? He's much cheaper on DK and his odds are longer than both those players.Anytime a $7K guy approaches 20% ownership, regardless of the player and the field, game theory would say the fade should be strongly considered. You could argue he's mispriced in the $7K range, but nonetheless...given the little that we know from a 1 year sample size at Congaree and the likely variance - fading the high owned $7K guy is just probably the hold your nose play.There are some strong names around him you can pivot too and eat chalk up top if you must.

This week I believe it would be “wise” to fade Aaron Wise. There are just so many pivots where he is priced and at 20% ownership with his recent form it seems like a bad week to eat that chalk.

At 18% (Top 7 highest) projected ownership, Aaron Wise,you are the Chalk Bomb! 

You know what I can't stand? Edible arrangements. Who the hell wants that as a gift? They use way too much fruit that if you don't eat quick enough will just go bad. It's like forcing you to eat, and the concept is just stupid. Whatever happened to Binaca?How come there are road warning signs for deer, turtles, and ducks but not squirrels who just happen to be the most common creature that will actually run across the road in front of you. I'm calling for a movement to add squirrel warning signs immediately!How do we know plants only want water? I mean, what if my wife's favorite peace lily could thrive on a good IPA every now and then. Alright, that’s all I got for this week. I hope you enjoy the fantastic field we have for the CJ Cup at Congaree this week. Stay well, good luck with your lineups and bets, and may your screens be green! Bome!

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