Charles Schwab HP 2023

HP 🍑 for The Charles Schwab Challenge

May 23, 2023

If golf research were sexual...you'd be rounding 2nd base after this.

Here are a few key things to know that may not have been covered on the podcast enough. Keep these in mind when narrowing down your bets and/or player pool.What a week it was! The PGA Championship always delivers. That was an incredible display of guts and stones by Brooks Koepka and it's once again hard to imagine a Major Championship without Brooks being a factor moving forward.We quickly hop right back in the saddle with one of the oldest running tour stops, The Charles Schwab Challange and Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, TX. We all know this event well and have honed in on the player attributes that often correlate to success at the Chuck Schwab. Here are some important course nuggets and takeaways as we prepare for Oak Hill and the 2023 PGA Championship!

  • In 6 of the last 9 years, the winner has come from an outright price below 30-1 entering the week.

  • Quintessential tight parklands golf course that rewards positions off the tee and proper shot shaping on approach.

  • 6th smallest greens on average on Tour and pure Bentgrass.

  • Z. Johnson holds the 72 hole record here at -21. Kevin Na holds the course record at 61.

  • Colonial has 9 Par 4's that play less than 450 yards and it's the main reason most approach shots fall in the 150-175 yard range.

  • The course can tip out at 7200 yards, but the Tour has set it up around 7000 yards on average over the last few years.

  • Pay attention to winds. This time of year in Texas they can really wreak havoc, as they did last year for the final round when Burns posted early and watched the carnage ensue.

  • Rickie Fowler was over 23% owned last week, highest of the PGA Championship, and is playing again this week off a missed cut at Oak Hill. *eyeballs emoji

  • Fairways on average are 28 yards wide, but also tend to narrow the further you hit it, making the optimal play OTT to club down in many instances.

  • We will have much more caddie insights in the discord as the week moves along, make sure you are active in the Nut Hut this week!

Here is the Data Golf radar plot on course fit for Colonial CC:

Average Approach Shot Distribution Buckets from last years tournament:

DataGolf Top 8 SG: Performance vs. Expecation at Colonial (last 16 rounds):

English, Lingmerth, Spieth, Putnam, Finau, Martin, Kisner, Harman

DataGolf Bottom 8 SG: Performance vs. Expecation at Colonial (last 16 rounds):

Fowler, Baddeley, Hossler, Kizzire, Taylor, Streelman, Hubbard, Piercy, Walker

DataGolf Draftkings Optimal Lineup:

SchefflerImBuckleyPostonColeTaylor

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Stories from Mark Hubbard...you haven't heard

Hubbs couldn't have been cooler. He's as down to earth as it gets. He's been on plenty of podcasts, but we did a good job getting new goodies from him.Click the thumbnail below and enjoy Homeless Hubbs!

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1. Leaders in SG: Total at Colonial CC over last 24 rounds : 1. Spieth  2. Finau  3. English  4. Harman  5. Morikawa  6. Kisner  7. Rose  8. Riley  9. Hovland  10. Grillo2. Leaders in Greens in Regulation Gained on the field over last 36 rounds : 1.Scheffler  2. Jaegar  3. Bramlett  4. Morikawa  5. Buckley  6. Gordon  7. Duncan  8. List  9. Spieth  10. D. Wu3. Top 10 players in recent positive trending form (last 20 rounds vs. their 100 round baseline) :  1. Scheffler  2. Rose  3. Henley  4. Spieth  5. Taylor  6. Fowler  7. Finau  8. Hossler  9. Im  10. Hovland4. Leaders in Bent Grass Putting over the last 50 rounds with tough scoring conditions: 1. Todd  2. English  3. McCarthy  4. Hossler  5. Donald  6. Baddeley  7. Longmerth  8. Homa  9. Straka  10. Kisner5. SG: Short Game Leaders over the last 36 rounds played in the field this week : 1. Spieth  2. Todd  3. English  4. Kisner  5. Martin  6. ZJ  7. Putnam  8. Harman  9. Merritt  10. Ramey6. Leaders in Good Drives gained over the last 36 rounds played : 1. Henley  2. Scheffler  3. Duncan  4. Morikawa  5. Buckley  6. Nesmith  7. Jaeger  8. Lashley  9. List  10. McCarthy7. SG: Total Leaders over the last 50 Rounds on Short Golf Courses : 1. Scheffler  2. Henley  3. Finau  4. Im  5. Morikawa  6. Kirk  7. Davis  8. Hovland  9. Si Woo  10. Griffin8. Top 10 Breakout candidates (ball striking it great but currently putting below their 100 round baseline) : 1. Compton  2. Straka  3. Spaun  4. Sigg  5. Hovland  6. Hall  7. Stevens  8. Cole  9. Higgo  10. SH Kim9.  Top 10 in Fantasy Value Given Salary via DataGolf:  1. Scheffler  2. Spieth  3. Taylor  4. Im  5. Poston  6. Cole  7. Buckley  8. Putnam  9. Hossler  10. Henley10. DataGolf Top 10 in Total SG; Adjustment for Course Fit at Colonial : 1.Todd  2. Lingmerth  3. Blair  4. Putnam  5. Baddeley  6. Donald  7. C-Buz  8. Sabbatini  9. Reavie  10. Kisner

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