Charles Schwab Chalk Bomb 23

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The weather looks to be a complete non factor all week. Very little wind and no rain in the forecast. For final analysis on weather advantages and tee times, make sure you tune into the Nut Hut live chat starting around 9pmET for the latest and final thoughts on the weather this week...GET IN THERE!

Jordan Spieth -132 ($9,900) vs Collin Morikawa +110 ($10,400)

Spieth in Texas...just play him right? Maybe not so fast as he checks into this week a heavy favorite in the head to head matchup market while being the cheaper option by a full $500 in DFS.The line opened slightly more even with Spieth as the -120 favorite before taking initial bets which put him as high as a -148 favorites in the sharp market making sportsbooks.Ownership and win equity for both players will be high, but Spieth is currently projected to clear the 20% based on data from the Nut Hut research center while Collin is projected to be around 15% owned in DFS.

Rickie Fowler -110 ($8,900) vs. Russell Henley -110 ($8,800)

Too close for some to call in this matchup as the betting line in a 72 hole matchup is deadlocked and Rickie is only $100 more in DFS.What's intriguing about this matchup to us is the ownership angle and potential leverage as Rickie was the highest owned player of the PGA Championship slate, and proceed to burn lineups on his way to a missed cut.We expect him to be very popular once again, but not quite get to the 25% mark. The Nut Hut has him projected around 15% owned while Henley is 11%. While both player missed the cut last week, they were on terrific runs of form before that in the previous events. Time will tell.

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KH LE -178 ($8,300) vs. Min Woo Lee +147 ($8,400)

These are the matchups we love to spotlight in this segment. The cheaper play in DFS, KH Lee, is now sitting as a substantial favorite in this head to head betting matchup. The line opened up with KH Lee as a -130 favorite and the ticket counters have been busy with bettors lining up for his side ever since.It's always surprising to see such one sided action from the sharpest books. Min Woo has really struggled on approach over his last 36 rounds but managed to string together a positive top 20 at the PGA Championship.KH Lee has without a doubt been fantastic on these type of course setups and in Texas. Do you have enough stones to back him at -178 though or would you rather just eat a little extra chalk in DFS and trust the sportsbooks?

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. What an epic PGA Championship it was. Props to Brooks Koepka for retaking the major championship throne and silencing the haters. It was certainly a ballsy call to fade the favorite for the entire tournament when we made Scottie Scheffler the chalk bomb. Well...he played like Scottie Scheffler...good and slow!  On a personal note, his antics around the greens taking forever really irks me to the core, you shouldn't be able to completely circle the pin on every chip shot and take 3-4 minutes, but that is neither here nor there. He played well, and burned those who faded the CB.After writing this piece for nearly 6 months now, I realize the play is probably not faded the guy or guys from the top of the board. Rather, I have had much more success looking for a player in the 9k or 8k range who's value and ownership are overly inflated coming into the week. I'm going to try and focus more on this range moving forward, because if you can properly avoid the mega chalk player here, they are far more likely to not meet their expectation and potentially even miss the cut.We have a number of players in the field this week with better than average course history around Colonial Country Club. I do believe it is one of the stickier course knowledge and history stops we have on Tour, which was confirmed by DataGolf analysis this week. Between the routing and the often times tricky lines you are required to take off the tee boxes, having some positive history in the memory bank typically serves players very well here.I'm looking for a CB candidate that does NOT have a whole lot of positive notches under their belt at Colonial. The player I have honed in on has only one career start in the Charles Schwab Challenge with ended in a middling finish. Even further, their form coming into that week was potentially the best in their career on the PGA Tour. They arrived that week off a top 5 at a Major Championship the week prior and had finished 22nd or better in 6 of their 7 starts leading into the event that week. Point being, form could not have been better, and they still didn't play very well.Historically, Colonial CC has some are the most difficult fairways to hit on tour, ranking 4th out of 46 courses on the schedule in terms of average fairway width. This of course places an additional emphasis upon hitting the short grass off the tee and gaining an advantage on the field by hitting more fairways. It's not exactly a strength of the player in either the short or long term analysis of fairways gained, ranking outside the top 50 in the field this week.But can they get a hot putter you ask? We'll the answer is that it is NOT likely on Bent Grass greens. It is by far their worst putting surface, ranking 76th in the field in strokes gained putting on bent grass.The final thing is that this player is just a popular click by many. He's easy to root for and well respected by not only his peers but the fans in general. He's one of the handful of guys that because of their overall popularity, the public sentiment is often inflated which leads to higher than normal ownership in many DFS formats. I'm pretty sure you have guessed who were are talking about by now, but at damn near 18% owned and $9,200 on Draftkings, Tommy Lad, you are this weeks chalk bomb!

I don't know why we delay teaching kids how to cuss. I mean, they're going to eventually do it. Plus it's kind of funny when kids cuss anyway.No one ever talks about the fact that wearing your hat backwards is great to prevent neck sunburns. If you host your kids birthday party at a facility that has a bar, why are you judging me for having a beer. Personally I am more impressed with how fast a cheetah can stop than I am at how fast they can run. For some reason to me, running up stairs seems far less exhausting than walking up them. Eyeball is a lazy word for a body part with such a major function. Alright, that’s all I got for the Chuck Schwab Challenge! Stay well, good luck with your lineups and bets, and may your screens be green! Bome!