AT&T Pebble Beach Heavy Petting 2023

HP 🍑 for the AT&T Pebble Beach ProAm

If golf research were sexual...you'd be rounding 2nd base after this.

Here are a few key things to know that may not have been covered on the podcast enough. Keep these in mind when narrowing down your bets and/or player pool.

Finally, we're nearing the end of course rotation season, but not before once last hoorah at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am which features a 3 course rotation. We of course don't have shot tracker data on two of the courses so we are going to focus primarily on Pebble Beach, which plays host to 2 rounds of the 4. Let's cut to the chase and give you what we believe is the most valuable information that you need know this which to give yourself the best chance at success in both DFS and betting. Here are some notes from years past:

  • In the last 6 years, we had a 160/1, 300/1, and 500/1 winner at this event. The field strength keeps worsening and is bad once again this year. #LongshotSZN

  • Monterey is the easiest course in the rota. Keep that in mind for playing showdowns and potential opportunities IF the weather looks dicey.

  • Spyglass can play equally as tough as Pebble depending on the wind and weather.

  • Cut after 54 holes this week. T60 & Ties.

  • Every caddie we have spoken to has stressed the importance of local knowledge and experience playing Pebble Beach.

  • Smallest greens on tour. Spongy, bumpy POA once again that can give players fits from short range

  • Driving Distance not nearly as important this week, look more for great mid iron players who have experience here.

  • Take a peak back to the Amex for some recent insight into how players fared on a 3 course rotation with Pro-Am Partners.

Here is the Data Golf radar plot on course fit for Pebble Beach:

Here is a closer look into Approach Shot percentages at Pebble. Note the significant bump in 100-125 yards.

DataGolf Stats:

Top 8 in SG VS Expectation (min 16 Rounds) at Pebble: Streelman, Armour, Hadley, Walker, N. Taylor, Gay, V. Taylor, Holmes

Bottom 8 in SG VS Expectation (min 16 Rounds) at Pebble: Sabbatini, Brown, Garrigus, Baddeley, Hoffman, Watney, Byrd, Dufner

DG Draftkings Optimal Lineup: Hovland, Fitzpatrick, Gordon, Hossler, Bramlett, Tarren

1. Top 10 in SG: T2G From Last years Tournament: 1. Spieth  2. Hadwin  3. Creel  4. Murphy  5. Trahan  6. Hardy  7. Hoge  8. Griffin  9. Cook  10. Kirk2. Top 10 in SG: Putting on POA last 36 rounds: 1. McNealy  2. Kuchar  3. Stuard  4. Kisner  5. Simpson  6. Hubbard  7. Kim  9. Malnati  10. McCarthy3. Fantasy Points gained on the field last 4 months: 1. Detry  2. Griffin  3. Yu  4. Gordon  5. Power  6. Hovland  7. An  8. Rose  9. Shelton  10. Lower4. Proximity Leaders last 36 rounds from 100-125 yards:  1. Knox  2. Hoge  3. Noh  4. Villegas  5. Garrigus  6. Stuard  7. Watney  8. Cook  9. Todd  10. Power5. Leaders in Total SG Adjustment for Course Fit at Pebble via DataGolf: 1. Putnam  2. Baddeley  3. Todd  4. Kuchar  5. McNealy  6. McCarthy  7. Fitzpatrick  8. Noh  9. Cole  10. Power6. Top 10 in SG: Ball Striking on Courses Sub 7200 yards last 36 rounds : 1. Hovland  2. Simpson  3. Mitchell  4. Stanley  5. Knox  6. Nesmith  7. Glover  8. Hoffman  9. Smalley  10. Hoge7. Top 10 in GIR gained at Pebble Beach (min 6 rounds) : 1. Streelman  2. Palmer  3. Knox  4. McGirt  5. NeSmith  6. Spieth  7. Haas  8. Norlander  9. Bramlett  10. Armour8. Top 10 Players in Fairways Gained last 50 rounds: 1. Armour  2. Todd  3. Stanley  4. Kodaira  5. Streelman  6. Stuard  7. Ghim  8. Eckroat  9. Knox  10. Moore9. Top 10 Players in weighted Strokes Gained ARG scrambling last 30 rounds: .1 Putnam  2. Detry  3. Kuchar  4. Baddeley  5. Gay  6. McNealy  7. Dahmen  8. Stuard  9. Fitzpatrick  10. Van Rooyen10. Top 10 in Fantasy Projected Points for the Farmers via datagolf: 1. Fitzpatrick  2. Hovland  3. Spieth  4. McNealy  5. Power  6. Hoge  7. Mitchell  8. Burmester  9. McCarthy  10. Smalley

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