AT&T Pebble Beach 22 Heavy Petting

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If golf research were sexual...you'd be rounding 2nd base after this.

• In the last 5 years, we've had a 300/1, 500/1 and 160/1 winner. The field strength this week per OWGR is equivalent to the Fortinet from September. #LongShotSZN

• Monterey is by far the easier course. Keep that in mind for showdowns and tee time rotations IF the weather appears interesting. Spyglass can play as tough as Pebble depending on the wind. Cut after 54 holes. T60 & ties.

• Winning score O/U from sportsbooks is falling around -19.5. Birdie fest = Variance

• Every caddie we've spoken to over the years has stressed the importance of local knowledge and experience in navigating Pebble Beach.

• This is one of the shortest average driving distance tracks on the PGA TOUR and the greens on Pebble are some of the smallest on Tour. Attacking from the fairway is critical. Fairways are a priority.

• All these greens are spongy, bumpy POA. Look for POA specialists. 

• Since 2000, every winner at PB had a previous T16 or better in their last 3 attempts at Pebble.

• Mid to Long term best iron players in this field according to DataGolf: Berger, Zalatoris, Cantlay, Hoge, Knox, Rose, Griffin, C Bez, Glover, Reavie

• Best cumulative score here since 2016: Day -72, Streelman -65, Spieth -61, Phil -52, Stallings & Taylor -41

• With a lot of similarities to the AMEX a couple of weeks ago (field strength, birdie fest, Pro AM format, etc), remember the most optimal DraftKings lineup left like $6K on the table. Embrace the variance in DFS, leave cash on the table, & play to finish in the top 1% of lineups!

1. Strokes gained T2G leaders from last year's AT&T: 1. Cantlay 2. Berger 3. McNealy 4. NeSmith 5. Reavie 6. Spieth 7. Lashley 8. Moore 9. Knox 10. Merritt 

2. Rounds gained % putting leaders on Poa grass: 1. Clark 2. Snedeker 3. McNealy 4. Day 5. Rodgers 6. Kuchar 7. Berger 8. Kisner 9. Hadwin 10. Putnam

3. Strokes gained T2G leaders the last 3 calendar months: 1.Zalatoris 2. Palmer 3. Berger 4. Hughes 5. Hoge 6. Tringale 7. Knox 8. Rai 9. Rose 10. Mitchell

4. On courses that are <7200 yards, par 72 & poa greens, your top 10 in total strokes gained are: 1. Spieth 2. Day 3. Streelman 4. Berger 5. Snedeker 6. Champ 7. Cantlay 8. Walker 9. Watney 10. NeSmith

5. Top 10 JUST strokes gained ball striking on courses <7200 yards, easy to hit fairways, & par 72: 1. Streelman 2. Spieth 3. Palmer 4. NeSmith 5. Berger 6. Reavie 7. Garrigus 8. Hadwin 9. Cantlay 10. Kirk

6. Top 10 in birdies or better gained the last 50 rounds: 1. Power 2. Hughes 3. Cantlay 4. Spieth 5. Tringale 6. Hoffman 7. McNealy 8. Fitzpatrick 9. Dahmen 10. Perez

7. Historical GIR's gained @ Pebble Beach (min 6 rds): 1. Streelman 2. Palmer 3. Cantlay 4. Day 5. Wagner 6. Perez 7. Spieth 8. Berger 9. Stanley 10. McNealy

8. Top 10 in GIR's gained the last 12 rounds: 1.Knox 2. Zalatoris 3. Palmer 4. Eckroat 5. Glover 6. Kim 7. Rai 8. Cantlay 9. Hahn 10. Bramlett

9. The two highest approach shot distribution buckets this week are 100-125 & 200+, your top 10 in proximity: 1. Hoge 2. Hoffman 3. NeSmith 4. Taylor 5. Stanley 6. Landry 7. Armour 8. Dahmen 9. Tringale 10. Hoag

10. Top 10 projected points per salary dollar (good values): 1. Cantlay 2. Berger 3. Moore 4. Mitchell 5. Smalley 6. Pendrith 7. Hughes 8. Burmester 9. Whaley 10. Bramlett

Seems like a great time to take in our incredible interview with Luke List in case you missed it. Luke pulls no punches. We discuss his journey on Tour, Bryson not being as smart as people think, and moreCLICK BELOW & TAKE IT IN

Reed vs. Finau