The 2024 Procore Championship Preview

1. SG: Off the Tee Leaders last 36 rounds: 1. Clanton  2. Lee, M.W.  3. Dougherty 4. Champ 5. Mitchell 6. Fishburn 7. Sherwood 8. Hoey 9. Vegas 10. Stevens

2. SG: Approach Leaders last 36 rounds: 1. Weir 2. Clanton 3. Conners 4. Spaun 5. Ghim  6. Willett 7. Kim, Chan  8. Mitchell 9. James 10. Norlander

3. SG: ARG Leaders last 36 rounds:  1. Simpson 2. Wilkinson 3. Pan 4. Shelton  5. Knox 6. McNealy 7. Hughes 8. Svensson  9. Moore 10. Thorbjornsen

4. SG: Putting last 36 rounds:  1. Hughes 2. Montgomery 3. Albertson  4. Kuchar  5. Suh 6. Silverman 7. Johnson, Tom 8. English  9. Bridgeman 10. Kim, S.H.

5. SG: APP from 100-175 last 36 rounds: 1. Choi 2. Kizzire 3. Weir 4. Conners 5. Ghim 6. Lower 7. Hardy 8. Ryder 9. Kraft 10. Kim, Chan

6. SG: APP from 100-150 from Rough last 36 rounds: 1. Pan 2. Chappell 3. Hadley 4. Shipley 5. Smalley  6. Norlander 7. Spaun 8. Campos  9. Lipsky 10. Putnam

7. SG: Putting on Poa Greens last 20 rounds: 1. Xiong  2. Coody, Pierceson 3. Hale Jr. 4. Wu, Dylan 5. Lee, M.W.  6. Montgomery 7. Clanton 8. Tosti 9. Phillips, Chandler 10. Cook

8. Top 10 in Par 5 Scoring Average last 36 rounds: 1. Kim, S.H. 2. Clanton  3. Stevens  4. Kim, Chan  5. Meissner 6. Fishburn 7. Tway  8. Shipley 9. Xiong 10. Cole

9. SG: Total at Silverado last 40 rounds: 1. Kim, S.H. 2. Theegala  3. Montgomery 4. Todd  5. Kuchar 6. Cole 7. Cink 8. Willett 9. Wilkinson 10. Berger

10. DataGolf Course History vs Expectation: 1. Johnson, Tom 2. Kim, S.H. 3. Theegala 4. Bridgeman  5. Taylor, Ben 6. Campos 7. Trainer 8. Alexander 9. Kisner 10. Todd

As usual in beautiful Napa, CA this time of year, conditions are ideal. We can expect your typical ‘dome golf’ with a touch of wind in the afternoons, but no real wave advantage as far as we can tell.

For final analysis on weather advantages and tee times, make sure you tune into the Nut Hut live chat starting around 9pm ET for the latest and final thoughts on the weather this week...GET IN THERE

Wyndham Clark -119 ($10,400) vs. Sahith Theegala -102 ($10,600)

We’re only highlighting one matchup per week for the fall schedule, so let’s kick it off with a big one. The sharp overseas books have Wyndham Clark as a favorite over Sahith Theegala in a 72-hole matchup despite a $200 difference in DraftKings DFS pricing.

Both players have ample experience at the tournament formerly known as the Fortinet (and the Safeway Open before that) with nine prior starts between them. That said, Sahith has seen much more success at Silverado with a win last year and two other top-15 finishes. Clark on the other hand has never finished higher than T30 here.

As two of the biggest names in the field, these guys unsurprisingly make up the two highest-owned players in DFS as of Wednesday. According to our Nut Hut ownership projections available in the Discord, both Wyndham and Sahith are around 26% owned, with the next closest being Corey Conners at 22.5%.

Over/Unders for the Procore Championship

Admittedly, yours truly has been focused on scouring what is a horrendous college football slate for any actionable plays (hop in the Nut Hut for CFB picks each week btw). So we’re just tailing our fearless leader DB for our round one play on Underdog

No unit shaming here on this uninsured play — gotta keep things light with plenty of juice on San Jose State to cover 19 against Kennesaw State on Saturday (you’re welcome degens).

*DISCLAIMER: The Chalk Bomb is CHALK for a reason! This is a ballsy call. We're simply giving you 1 player projected to be highly owned that we think could warrant a fade in order to gain leverage in DFS GPP Tournaments. Sack up & fade OR Ignore the play. 

“I’m not f****** leavin’!” - Jordan Belfort & the Chalk Bomb

After a brief hiatus (and mainly bc DB/Pat are still paying me) the Chalk Bomb is BACK for the fall schedule.

I know you’re all dying to know which no-name to fade at the historic Procore Championship — will it be JJ Spaun? Jhonattan Vegas? Or, God forbid, Chan Kim?

Well, you’re in luck dear reader — we’ve got the goods once again.

As a reminder, the Chalk Bomb is limited to players projected at over 15% ownership in DFS according to our proprietary projections available in the Tour Junkies Discord. This week, that leaves us with nine players (if you count a pair at 15.2%, which I certainly do).

The TOUR is back to a familiar venue if not a familiar sponsor. What is Procore anyway? I’m sure we’ll find out during the coverage from Silverado Resort.

Our friends at Bet the Number have plenty of historical data to help our cause this week, so let’s begin with how they’ve handicapped this venue and what about Silverado might give this week’s Chalk Bomb a challenge.

With Poa putting surfaces this week, it’s no surprise that SG Putting on Poa is an important stat to consider. Looking at this week’s field over the last 36 rounds, our Chalk Bomb is far from a good putter on this surface as he ranks outside the top 60 in the field in that category.

That said, Poa may be one of his favorites considering he ranks outside the top 100 in SG Putting in general… yikes.

But that’s ok — he’s an absolute masher both off the tee and on approach, ranking inside the top 10 in both categories over his last 36 rounds. But what about on approaches from 100-175 yards — a distance that our analysts have identified as being especially common at this event?

That picture isn’t as pretty. From that range out of the fairway, this player ranks 40th in the field. And when we look at playing out of the rough from a similar yardage, (another key stat considering the field average fairway percentage is among the lowest on TOUR) this player ranks 55th in the field over his last 36 rounds.

Perhaps that’s why his career record at Silverado has been less than stellar… or why he’s almost completely avoided this event over the last few years. The Chalk Bomb’s lone start in this event came all the way back in 2018 when he missed the cut.

All of the above combined with a 15% ownership percentage has me looking elsewhere in the $9k range where this guy is priced. So although he’s a fellow University of Georgia graduate, I like the Dawgs chances of covering 24 against Kentucky this weekend a helluva lot more than this guy’s chances at a top-10 finish.

I hate to say it, but Keith Mitchell, you are the Chalk Bomb!

I think schools shouldn’t warn parents ahead of time when picture day is going to be. Let it be a surprise and just see what the fuck happens when those proofs get sent home.

Aren’t deviled eggs just inside out egg salad?

I can’t stand a “misting” rain when I’m driving. It’s annoying because you can never get the windshield wipers on a consistent speed. Just rain or don’t stupid cloud.

A time capsule would probably be the best place to hide something from a crime scene.

Alright folks, that’s all I got this week for the Procore Construction Software Championship. Stay well and good luck with all your lineups and bets. Bome!